What Sassuolo have left to play in Serie A 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.
Fixture outlook
33 matches ahead in Serie A
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
What the fixtures say
The run of 33 matches ahead of Sassuolo in Serie A rates 3.0 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Balanced. 8 of them rate easier than balanced, and 7 of them rate harder than balanced. The model expects 1.39 projected xG a match from them and 45.4 of the 99 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is Inter away, banded 4 of 5 — Difficult, against an attack rated 88/99 and a defence rated 63/99. Worth reading those figures against: the fit behind at least one of these fixtures is drawn from a thin sample of played matches.
The run at a glance
Lecce home Sun 18/04 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
Projected xG 1.80 – 0.96 Sassuolo win 56%
Inter away Sun 03/01 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
Projected xG 1.14 – 2.19 Sassuolo win 16%
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Open the match page for Milan
Sun 11/10 Home Milan Serie A
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 44/99, defence 60/99Projected xG 1.36 – 1.19 Projected xPts 1.48- Sassuolo
- 39%
- Draw
- 31%
- Milan
- 30%
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Open the match page for Frosinone
Fri 16/10 Away Frosinone Serie A
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 60/99, defence 22/99Projected xG 1.58 – 1.63 Projected xPts 1.33- Frosinone
- 37%
- Draw
- 27%
- Sassuolo
- 35%
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Open the match page for Como
Sat 24/10 Away Como Serie A
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 73/99, defence 66/99Projected xG 1.10 – 1.85 Projected xPts 0.85- Como
- 54%
- Draw
- 26%
- Sassuolo
- 20%
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Open the match page for Lazio
Tue 27/10 Home Lazio Serie A
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 56/99Projected xG 1.41 – 1.18 Projected xPts 1.52- Sassuolo
- 40%
- Draw
- 31%
- Lazio
- 29%
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Open the match page for Fiorentina
Mon 02/11 Home Fiorentina Serie A
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 48/99, defence 55/99Projected xG 1.42 – 1.24 Projected xPts 1.48- Sassuolo
- 39%
- Draw
- 30%
- Fiorentina
- 30%
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Open the match page for Roma
Sat 07/11 Away Roma Serie A
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 76/99, defence 74/99Projected xG 1.01 – 1.90 Projected xPts 0.76- Roma
- 58%
- Draw
- 26%
- Sassuolo
- 17%
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Open the match page for Genoa
Sun 22/11 Home Genoa Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 30/99, defence 52/99Projected xG 1.46 – 1.00 Projected xPts 1.69- Sassuolo
- 46%
- Draw
- 31%
- Genoa
- 23%
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Open the match page for Napoli
Sun 29/11 Home Napoli Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 56/99, defence 66/99Projected xG 1.29 – 1.34 Projected xPts 1.31- Sassuolo
- 33%
- Draw
- 31%
- Napoli
- 36%
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Open the match page for Venezia
Mon 07/12 Away Venezia Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 46/99, defence 25/99Projected xG 1.55 – 1.42 Projected xPts 1.44- Venezia
- 33%
- Draw
- 29%
- Sassuolo
- 39%
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Open the match page for Lecce
Sat 12/12 Away Lecce Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 27/99, defence 26/99Projected xG 1.54 – 1.13 Projected xPts 1.66- Lecce
- 25%
- Draw
- 30%
- Sassuolo
- 45%
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Open the match page for Parma
Sat 19/12 Home Parma Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 23/99, defence 36/99Projected xG 1.66 – 0.90 Projected xPts 1.92- Sassuolo
- 54%
- Draw
- 28%
- Parma
- 17%
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Open the match page for Inter
Sun 03/01 Away Inter Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 88/99, defence 63/99Projected xG 1.14 – 2.19 Projected xPts 0.71- Inter
- 61%
- Draw
- 23%
- Sassuolo
- 16%
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Open the match page for Udinese
Thu 07/01 Home Udinese Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 44/99, defence 32/99Projected xG 1.71 – 1.20 Projected xPts 1.72- Sassuolo
- 48%
- Draw
- 28%
- Udinese
- 24%
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Open the match page for Cagliari
Mon 11/01 Away Cagliari Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 33/99, defence 32/99Projected xG 1.46 – 1.22 Projected xPts 1.52- Cagliari
- 29%
- Draw
- 30%
- Sassuolo
- 41%
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Open the match page for Monza
Sun 17/01 Home Monza Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 51/99, defence 58/99Projected xG 1.39 – 1.28 Projected xPts 1.43- Sassuolo
- 38%
- Draw
- 30%
- Monza
- 32%
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Open the match page for Fiorentina
Sun 24/01 Away Fiorentina Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 48/99, defence 55/99Projected xG 1.22 – 1.45 Projected xPts 1.18- Fiorentina
- 41%
- Draw
- 30%
- Sassuolo
- 29%
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Open the match page for Como
Sun 31/01 Home Como Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 73/99, defence 66/99Projected xG 1.29 – 1.58 Projected xPts 1.15- Sassuolo
- 29%
- Draw
- 29%
- Como
- 42%
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Open the match page for Juventus
Sun 07/02 Away Juventus Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 66/99, defence 82/99Projected xG 0.89 – 1.72 Projected xPts 0.76- Juventus
- 56%
- Draw
- 27%
- Sassuolo
- 16%
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Open the match page for Torino
Sun 14/02 Away Torino Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 38/99, defence 41/99Projected xG 1.37 – 1.30 Projected xPts 1.40- Torino
- 33%
- Draw
- 31%
- Sassuolo
- 36%
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Open the match page for Roma
Sun 21/02 Home Roma Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 76/99, defence 74/99Projected xG 1.19 – 1.63 Projected xPts 1.04- Sassuolo
- 25%
- Draw
- 29%
- Roma
- 46%
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Open the match page for Parma
Sun 28/02 Away Parma Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 23/99, defence 36/99Projected xG 1.42 – 1.05 Projected xPts 1.63- Parma
- 25%
- Draw
- 31%
- Sassuolo
- 44%
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Open the match page for Bologna
Sun 07/03 Home Bologna Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 38/99, defence 69/99Projected xG 1.25 – 1.12 Projected xPts 1.44- Sassuolo
- 37%
- Draw
- 33%
- Bologna
- 30%
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Open the match page for Milan
Sun 14/03 Away Milan Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 44/99, defence 60/99Projected xG 1.17 – 1.39 Projected xPts 1.18- Milan
- 40%
- Draw
- 31%
- Sassuolo
- 29%
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Open the match page for Cagliari
Sun 21/03 Home Cagliari Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 33/99, defence 32/99Projected xG 1.71 – 1.05 Projected xPts 1.84- Sassuolo
- 52%
- Draw
- 28%
- Cagliari
- 20%
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Open the match page for Atalanta
Sun 04/04 Home Atalanta Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 44/99Projected xG 1.55 – 1.27 Projected xPts 1.56- Sassuolo
- 42%
- Draw
- 29%
- Atalanta
- 28%
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Open the match page for Napoli
Sun 11/04 Away Napoli Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 56/99, defence 66/99Projected xG 1.11 – 1.57 Projected xPts 1.01- Napoli
- 47%
- Draw
- 30%
- Sassuolo
- 24%
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Open the match page for Lecce
Sun 18/04 Home Lecce Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 27/99, defence 26/99Projected xG 1.80 – 0.96 Projected xPts 1.96- Sassuolo
- 56%
- Draw
- 27%
- Lecce
- 17%
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Open the match page for Genoa
Sun 25/04 Away Genoa Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 30/99, defence 52/99Projected xG 1.25 – 1.17 Projected xPts 1.40- Genoa
- 32%
- Draw
- 32%
- Sassuolo
- 36%
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Open the match page for Frosinone
Sun 02/05 Home Frosinone Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 60/99, defence 22/99Projected xG 1.85 – 1.39 Projected xPts 1.68- Sassuolo
- 47%
- Draw
- 26%
- Frosinone
- 27%
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Open the match page for Lazio
Sun 09/05 Away Lazio Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 56/99Projected xG 1.21 – 1.38 Projected xPts 1.21- Lazio
- 39%
- Draw
- 31%
- Sassuolo
- 30%
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Open the match page for Venezia
Sun 16/05 Home Venezia Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 46/99, defence 25/99Projected xG 1.81 – 1.22 Projected xPts 1.77- Sassuolo
- 50%
- Draw
- 27%
- Venezia
- 23%
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Open the match page for Udinese
Sun 23/05 Away Udinese Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 44/99, defence 32/99Projected xG 1.46 – 1.40 Projected xPts 1.40- Udinese
- 34%
- Draw
- 29%
- Sassuolo
- 37%
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Open the match page for Inter
Sun 30/05 Home Inter Serie A Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 88/99, defence 63/99Projected xG 1.33 – 1.88 Projected xPts 1.00- Sassuolo
- 25%
- Draw
- 26%
- Inter
- 49%
The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Serie A.
Fixture difficulty in Serie A
Reads each matchup for Sassuolo: the band is cut from the model's chances of Sassuolo winning and losing the match, so Sassuolo's own strength and home advantage are in it.
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
Upcoming opponent strength
tied number 6 hardest of 20 in Serie A
+0.07 xG vs league average
Over 5 upcoming league fixtures
Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Serie A's average club, with no venue and nothing of Sassuolo's own strength in it.
Opponents behind the figure
Upcoming
+0.07 xG vs league average · over 5 fixtures · tied number 6 hardest of 20
- Milan Home +0.02
- Frosinone Away −0.18
- Como Away +0.48
- Lazio Home −0.02
- Fiorentina Home +0.03
About these numbers
What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's
Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.
Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Serie A and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.
Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.
The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.
Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.
xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.
The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.