xgEdge

APO Levadiakos's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 5 of 5 matching results

5 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses

1 pts 0–9 goals −9 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
3.12 – 7.06
0.62 – 1.41 per match
xGD
-3.94
-0.79 per match
xG record
0 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 4 against them

Comparable xG: 5 of 5 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

1 pts 3.6 xPts

−2.6 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 5 of 5 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · Super League Greece · All venues

APO Levadiakos's winless run follows chances that have gone against them at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 0 of 5 matches, for −3.94 xG difference overall on 3.12–7.06. Their points total of 1 sits 2.6 below the model's 3.6 xPts, so the chances have clearly outrun the results.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 5 results APO Levadiakos are 2.56 points below their xPts.

Points
1
xPts
3.56
Gap
-2.56
Sun 23/08 Mon 31/08 Sun 06/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.33 -1.54 -2.36 -1.97 -2.56 -0.33 -1.21 -0.82 +0.39 -0.59 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
APO Levadiakos: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sun 23/08 PAOK 0 0.33 -0.33 -0.33
Mon 31/08 Panathinaikos 0 1.21 -1.21 -1.54
Sun 06/09 Panetolikos 0 0.82 -0.82 -2.36
Sun 13/09 AE Kifisia 1 0.61 +0.39 -1.97
Sun 20/09 Olympiacos FC 0 0.59 -0.59 -2.56

Scores and xG

APO Levadiakos first

  • Home Super League Greece Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.37

    xGA 1.17

    xGD -0.80

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Olympiacos FC, Sun 20/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.59
    Points minus xPts
    -0.59

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Super League Greece Draw against the chances

    xG 0.53

    xGA 1.38

    xGD -0.85

    0:0 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · AE Kifisia, Sun 13/09

    The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    0.61
    Points minus xPts
    +0.39

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Super League Greece Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.69

    xGA 1.27

    xGD -0.58

    0:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Panetolikos, Sun 06/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.82
    Points minus xPts
    -0.82

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Super League Greece Loss with even chances

    xG 0.96

    xGA 1.09

    xGD -0.13

    0:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Panathinaikos, Mon 31/08

    The team lost, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was weaker than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.21
    Points minus xPts
    -1.21

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Super League Greece Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.57

    xGA 2.15

    xGD -1.58

    0:4 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · PAOK, Sun 23/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.33
    Points minus xPts
    -0.33

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest underperformance

PAOK 0:4

· Away xG / xGA 0.57 – 2.15

Goal difference
-4
xGD
-1.58
GD minus xGD
-2.42

Among 5 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →