xgEdge

Expected goals

FC København expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Superliga (Denmark) · after 9 matches · updated 4 Oct

FC København's attacking and defensive expected goals in Superliga (Denmark) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

FC København xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.62 xG per match
#3/12
Attack (xG per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 FC Nordsjælland 2.35
#2 Lyngby 1.85
#3 FC København 1.62
=4 AGF 1.60
=4 Viborg FF 1.60
#6 Odense Boldklub 1.55
#7 FC Midtjylland 1.44
#8 Brøndby IF 1.22
#9 Silkeborg IF 1.10
#10 AC Horsens 1.09
#11 Randers FC 1.06
#12 Sønderjyske Fodbold 1.01
League avg
1.46
Total
14.61 9 matches
Defence
1.16 xGA per match
#2/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Midtjylland 1.11
#2 FC København 1.16
#3 Viborg FF 1.17
#4 Lyngby 1.36
#5 FC Nordsjælland 1.43
#6 Silkeborg IF 1.47
#7 Brøndby IF 1.54
#8 AGF 1.56
#9 AC Horsens 1.57
#10 Randers FC 1.65
#11 Odense Boldklub 1.68
#12 Sønderjyske Fodbold 1.81
League avg
1.46
Total
10.44 9 matches
xG difference
+0.46 xGD per match
#3/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 FC Nordsjælland +0.93
#2 Lyngby +0.48
#3 FC København +0.46
#4 Viborg FF +0.43
#5 FC Midtjylland +0.33
#6 AGF +0.04
#7 Odense Boldklub -0.13
#8 Brøndby IF -0.32
#9 Silkeborg IF -0.36
#10 AC Horsens -0.48
#11 Randers FC -0.59
#12 Sønderjyske Fodbold -0.80
League avg
0.00
Total
+4.17 9 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.71 xPts per match
#2/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 FC Nordsjælland 1.90
#2 FC København 1.71
#3 Viborg FF 1.70
#4 FC Midtjylland 1.61
#5 Lyngby 1.61
#6 AGF 1.49
#7 Odense Boldklub 1.30
#8 Silkeborg IF 1.22
#9 Brøndby IF 1.18
#10 AC Horsens 1.05
#11 Randers FC 0.99
#12 Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.82
League avg
1.38
Total
15.35 vs 24 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

FC København's underlying numbers are among the best in Superliga (Denmark). They rank #3 for xG difference at +0.46 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 23 goals are 8.39 above 14.61 xG, while 24 points are 8.65 above 15.35 xPts. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.10 xG from penalties
23 14.61 +8.39 scored 8.39 more than xG far outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
8 10.44 -2.44 conceded 2.44 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
24 15.35 +8.65 8.65 points above xPts far outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

FC København are 8.39 goals above their xG after 9 matches. The gap was widest at +9.66, against AC Horsens on Fri 11/09.

Goals
23
xG
14.61
Gap
+8.39
Sun 26/07 Sun 02/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 23/08 Mon 31/08 Thu 03/09 Sun 06/09 Fri 11/09 Sun 20/09 -1 +1 +3 +5 +7 +9 +1.44 +3.24 +5.94 +5.60 +6.17 +6.55 +8.71 +9.66 +8.39 +1.44 +1.80 +2.70 -0.34 +0.57 +0.38 +2.16 +0.95 -1.27 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
FC København: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 26/07 Lyngby 3 1.56 +1.44 +1.44
Sun 02/08 Silkeborg IF 3 1.20 +1.80 +3.24
Sun 16/08 Randers FC 4 1.30 +2.70 +5.94
Sun 23/08 Viborg FF 0 0.34 -0.34 +5.60
Mon 31/08 Sønderjyske Fodbold 3 2.43 +0.57 +6.17
Thu 03/09 FC Nordsjælland 2 1.62 +0.38 +6.55
Sun 06/09 Odense Boldklub 5 2.84 +2.16 +8.71
Fri 11/09 AC Horsens 2 1.05 +0.95 +9.66
Sun 20/09 Brøndby IF 1 2.27 -1.27 +8.39

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

FC København xG trend

Current form +0.68 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 6 of 9 matches. The worst was against Viborg FF on Sun 23/08 (-1.07).

npxG · last 6
1.61
npxGA · last 6
0.93
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 -1.02 Sun 26/07 -0.13 Sun 02/08 +0.69 Sun 16/08 -1.07 Sun 23/08 +1.65 Mon 31/08 +0.83 Thu 03/09 +0.49 Sun 06/09 +0.62 Fri 11/09 +1.57 Sun 20/09 +0.40 season avg
FC København: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 26/07 Lyngby 1.54 2.56 -1.02 -1.02
Sun 02/08 Silkeborg IF 1.11 1.24 -0.13 -0.57
Sun 16/08 Randers FC 1.21 0.52 +0.69 -0.15
Sun 23/08 Viborg FF 0.37 1.44 -1.07 -0.38
Mon 31/08 Sønderjyske Fodbold 2.43 0.78 +1.65 +0.02
Thu 03/09 FC Nordsjælland 1.45 0.62 +0.83 +0.16
Sun 06/09 Odense Boldklub 2.05 1.56 +0.49 +0.21
Fri 11/09 AC Horsens 1.21 0.59 +0.62 +0.26
Sun 20/09 Brøndby IF 2.14 0.57 +1.57 +0.40

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.50 npxG and 1.10 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 12 hardest of 12 in Superliga (Denmark)
−0.08 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
tied number 10 hardest of 12 in Superliga (Denmark)
−0.06 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.08 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · number 12 hardest of 12

  1. Brøndby IF Away +0.05
  2. AC Horsens Home −0.22
  3. Odense Boldklub Away −0.04
  4. FC Nordsjælland Home +0.41
  5. Sønderjyske Fodbold Home −0.51
  6. Viborg FF Away +0.16
  7. Randers FC Away −0.27
  8. Silkeborg IF Away −0.30
  9. Lyngby Home 0.00

Last 5

−0.06 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 10 hardest of 12

  1. Brøndby IF Away +0.05
  2. AC Horsens Home −0.22
  3. Odense Boldklub Away −0.04
  4. FC Nordsjælland Home +0.41
  5. Sønderjyske Fodbold Home −0.51

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

FC København shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. FC København take 15.0 shots a match (league 13.9) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #5 in Superliga (Denmark) for volume and #4 for quality. 58% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 23% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume
15.0 shots per match
#5/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC Nordsjælland 17.6
#2 AGF 16.8
#3 Odense Boldklub 15.3
#4 Brøndby IF 15.2
#5 FC København 15.0
#6 Lyngby 14.8
#7 FC Midtjylland 14.2
#8 Viborg FF 13.6
#9 Sønderjyske Fodbold 11.6
#10 Silkeborg IF 11.4
#11 AC Horsens 11.2
#12 Randers FC 9.9
League avg
13.9
Total
135 shots from 9 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#4/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 FC Nordsjælland 0.13
#2 Viborg FF 0.12
#3 Randers FC 0.10
#4 FC København 0.10
#5 Lyngby 0.10
#6 FC Midtjylland 0.10
#7 Odense Boldklub 0.09
#8 AC Horsens 0.08
#9 Silkeborg IF 0.08
#10 AGF 0.08
#11 Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.08
#12 Brøndby IF 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
13.51 npxG from 135 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
11.9 shots per match
#1/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC København 11.9
#2 Silkeborg IF 12.4
#3 Brøndby IF 12.6
=4 FC Midtjylland 12.9
=4 Lyngby 12.9
#6 FC Nordsjælland 13.3
#7 Odense Boldklub 13.6
=8 AGF 13.7
=8 Viborg FF 13.7
#10 AC Horsens 15.0
#11 Randers FC 16.4
#12 Sønderjyske Fodbold 18.2
League avg
13.9
Total
107 shots allowed from 9 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.09 npxGA per shot
#5/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Viborg FF 0.08
#2 FC Midtjylland 0.08
#3 AGF 0.09
#4 FC Nordsjælland 0.09
#5 FC København 0.09
#6 Randers FC 0.09
#7 Lyngby 0.10
#8 Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.10
#9 AC Horsens 0.10
#10 Brøndby IF 0.11
#11 Odense Boldklub 0.11
#12 Silkeborg IF 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
9.88 npxGA from 107 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

58% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 78 of 135 shots over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

59% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 63 of 107 shots allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

77% open play · 23% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 3.2 of 13.6 npxG over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

78% open play · 22% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 2.2 of 9.7 npxG allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

FC København home and away xG

FC København per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 5
xG / match 1.67 1.59
xGA / match 1.10 1.21
xGD / match +0.57 +0.38
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.83 1.61

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every FC København match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 5

Matches
5
xG / match
2.04
xGA / match
0.99
xGD / match
+1.06
Points
15 of 15
  1. Sun 20/09 Brøndby IF A xG 2.27 xGA 0.71 xGD +1.56
  2. Fri 11/09 AC Horsens H Weakest underlying xG 1.05 xGA 0.63 xGD +0.42
  3. Sun 06/09 Odense Boldklub A xG 2.84 P xGA 2.18 P xGD +0.66
  4. Thu 03/09 FC Nordsjælland H xG 1.62 xGA 0.63 xGD +0.99
  5. Mon 31/08 Sønderjyske Fodbold H Best underlying xG 2.43 xGA 0.78 xGD +1.65

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

FC København in Superliga (Denmark)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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