Saturday, 17/10/2026 at 15:00
13d 12h to kick-offFC Dinamo București – FC Botoșani
Model updated 4 October, 00:30 Odds not yet available
What the model expects
- FC Dinamo București
- 68%
- Draw
- 20%
- FC Botoșani
- 12%
| FC Dinamo București | Draw | FC Botoșani | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fair odds | 1.46 | 5.11 | 8.38 |
- Total goals
- 3.54
- Over 2.5 goals
- 71%
- Both teams to score
- 65%
Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Model vs market
Market odds are not available for this match yet.
Why the model leans FC Dinamo București
68% FC Dinamo București to win
- Attack
- 2nd vs 14th
- FC Dinamo București attack v FC Botoșani defence
- Defence
- 2nd vs 9th
- FC Dinamo București defence v FC Botoșani attack
- Recent xG form
- +0.92 vs -0.09
- xGD per match, last 6
- Projected goals
- 2.48 – 1.07
- FC Dinamo București v FC Botoșani
Team comparison
Season to date, per match, with each club's placing in the competition. The last row is the last 6 matches.
| Reading | FC Dinamo București | FC Botoșani |
|---|---|---|
| xG / match | (better) 2.17 · 3rd | 1.99 · 5th |
| xGA / match | (better) 1.15 · 3rd | 2.10 · 14th |
| xGD / match | (better) +1.02 · 2nd | -0.11 · 11th |
| xPts / match | (better) 2.04 · 1st | 1.34 · 11th |
| Last 6 xGD / match | (better) +0.92 | -0.09 |
The scorelines behind the model's numbers
No exact score is especially likely. The 3 most probable scorelines account for 29% of the model's distribution.
- FC Dinamo București clean sheet
- 31%
- FC Dinamo București 2+ goals
- 73%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 29%
- Both teams to score: no
- 35%
Most likely scorelines
- 2:1
- 10.8%
- 3:1
- 9.2%
- 1:1
- 8.9%
Check your bookmaker's price
Enter a bookmaker's price to compare it with the model's fair odds.
How value is calculated
Value is probability × odds − 1 — it pays on average and over the long run, not necessarily in this match. The model knows nothing of absences, motivation or the schedule.
Nothing you type is remembered.
Model details
Show
Hide
- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- FC Dinamo București sample
- 20 matches
- FC Botoșani sample
- 20 matches
- Home xG sample · FC Dinamo București
- 4 matches
- Away xG sample · FC Botoșani
- 6 matches
- Computed
- Sunday, 04/10/2026 at 00:30
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.