Sunday, 08/11/2026 at 15:00
34d 12h to kick-offFC Epicentr Dunaivtsi – FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Model updated 5 October, 03:30 Odds not yet available
What the model expects
- FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi
- 39%
- Draw
- 29%
- FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
- 32%
| FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | Draw | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fair odds | 2.56 | 3.48 | 3.11 |
- Total goals
- 2.96
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59%
- Both teams to score
- 65%
Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Model vs market
Market odds are not available for this match yet.
Why the model leans FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi
39% FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi to win
- Attack
- 9th vs 14th
- FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi attack v FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih defence
- Defence
- 12th vs 7th
- FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi defence v FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih attack
- Recent xG form
- +0.30 vs -0.76
- xGD per match, last 6
- Projected goals
- 1.55 – 1.41
- FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi v FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Team comparison
Season to date, per match, with each club's placing in the competition. The last row is the last 6 matches.
| Reading | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih |
|---|---|---|
| xG / match | (better) 1.74 · 8th | 1.36 · 9th from 4 matches |
| xGA / match | (better) 1.17 · 6th | 2.32 · 14th from 4 matches |
| xGD / match | (better) +0.57 · 6th | -0.96 · 13th from 4 matches |
| xPts / match | (better) 1.72 · 5th | 0.83 · 13th from 4 matches |
| Last 6 xGD / match | (better) +0.30 | -0.76 |
The scorelines behind the model's numbers
No exact score is especially likely. The 3 most probable scorelines account for 33% of the model's distribution.
- FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi clean sheet
- 22%
- FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 2+ goals
- 47%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 41%
- Both teams to score: no
- 35%
Most likely scorelines
- 1:1
- 13.9%
- 2:1
- 10.2%
- 1:2
- 9.1%
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How value is calculated
Value is probability × odds − 1 — it pays on average and over the long run, not necessarily in this match. The model knows nothing of absences, motivation or the schedule.
Nothing you type is remembered.
Model details
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- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi sample
- 20 matches
- FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih sample
- 20 matches
- Home xG sample · FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi
- 5 matches
- Away xG sample · FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
- 2 matches
- Computed
- Monday, 05/10/2026 at 03:30
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.