Goals vs xG
Who is scoring above and below their chances?
xG measures the quality of a player's chances. +3.8 means 3.8 more goals than chances like those usually produce.
Current season · 450+ min · 2.0+ npxG · Data to 20 September 2026
Eligibility
- Minutes
- At least 450 minutes this season, so one hot week can't top the list.
- Chances
- At least 2.0 npxG, and a gap of at least one goal either way. Penalties excluded, from the goals and from the xG.
- Competitions
- Only competitions with per-player shot data, once their median club has played 6 matches; see Coverage below. European leagues are at different stages of their seasons, so each competition's current season is used, whether it runs by the calendar year or across two.
Ilias Sebaoui has scored 0 non-penalty goals from 2.4 npxG over their last five appearances, 2.4 below their chances: the largest qualifying gap below xG across 11 competitions.
| # | Player | Last 5npG − npxG | Last 5npG | Last 5npxG | Shots | Min | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ilias Sebaoui Sint-Truidense VV · Jupiler Pro League 0 npG from 2.4 npxG | −2.4 | 0 | 2.4 | 27 | 619 | 1 npG · 3.54 npxG−2.54 |
| 1 | Maksym Khlan Górnik Zabrze · Ekstraklasa 0 npG from 2.4 npxG | −2.4 | 0 | 2.4 | 35 | 754 | 1 npG · 3.25 npxG−2.25 |
| 3 | Mexx Meerdink AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie 2 npG from 4.2 npxG | −2.2 | 2 | 4.2 | 23 | 562 | 3 npG · 5.27 npxG−2.27 |
| 4 | Gustavo Silva Vitória SC · Liga Portugal 1 npG from 3.0 npxG | −2.0 | 1 | 3.0 | 25 | 525 | 1 npG · 3.54 npxG−2.54 |
| 5 | Samuel Krasniqi Grasshopper Club Zürich · Swiss Super League 1 npG from 2.8 npxG | −1.8 | 1 | 2.8 | 34 | 810 | 1 npG · 3.26 npxG−2.26 |
| 6 | Vinícius Júnior Real Madrid · La Liga 0 npG from 1.7 npxG | −1.7 | 0 | 1.7 | 22 | 565 | 1 npG · 2.96 npxG−1.96 |
| 7 | Danijel Šturm SK Slavia Praha · Czech First League 1 npG from 2.5 npxG | −1.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 15 | 582 | 1 npG · 3.03 npxG−2.03 |
| 7 | Jesper Cornelius IK Start · Eliteserien 1 npG from 2.5 npxG | −1.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 55 | 1,603 | 5 npG · 6.86 npxG−1.86 |
| 9 | James Ampofo IK Start · Eliteserien 0 npG from 1.4 npxG | −1.4 | 0 | 1.4 | 29 | 613 | 0 npG · 2.81 npxG−2.81 |
| 9 | Nikolas Muci Grasshopper Club Zürich · Swiss Super League 0 npG from 1.4 npxG | −1.4 | 0 | 1.4 | 19 | 494 | 1 npG · 2.93 npxG−1.93 |
| 9 | Steve Ngoura Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League 0 npG from 1.4 npxG | −1.4 | 0 | 1.4 | 21 | 485 | 1 npG · 2.89 npxG−1.89 |
| 9 | Patrick Greil SC Rheindorf Altach · Austrian Bundesliga 0 npG from 1.4 npxG | −1.4 | 0 | 1.4 | 19 | 550 | 2 npG · 2.25 npxG−0.25 |
| 13 | Sondre Auklend Bodø/Glimt · Eliteserien 0 npG from 1.3 npxG | −1.3 | 0 | 1.3 | 31 | 1,421 | 1 npG · 3.90 npxG−2.90 |
| 13 | Jonatan Braut Brunes AC Sparta Praha · Czech First League 0 npG from 1.3 npxG | −1.3 | 0 | 1.3 | 20 | 589 | 1 npG · 2.14 npxG−1.14 |
| 13 | Brighton Labeau FC Thun · Swiss Super League 0 npG from 1.3 npxG | −1.3 | 0 | 1.3 | 14 | 603 | 3 npG · 2.63 npxG+0.37 |
| 16 | Prince Amoako Junior FC Nordsjælland · Superliga (Denmark) 0 npG from 1.2 npxG | −1.2 | 0 | 1.2 | 27 | 477 | 0 npG · 2.03 npxG−2.03 |
| 16 | Ibrahim Adel FC Nordsjælland · Superliga (Denmark) 0 npG from 1.2 npxG | −1.2 | 0 | 1.2 | 20 | 485 | 1 npG · 2.98 npxG−1.98 |
| 16 | Cláudio Braga Heart of Midlothian · Scottish Premiership 0 npG from 1.2 npxG | −1.2 | 0 | 1.2 | 30 | 581 | 1 npG · 2.09 npxG−1.09 |
| 16 | Kristian Eriksen SK Brann · Eliteserien 0 npG from 1.2 npxG | −1.2 | 0 | 1.2 | 26 | 1,232 | 4 npG · 4.24 npxG−0.24 |
| 20 | Nicolò Tresoldi Club Brugge KV · Jupiler Pro League 1 npG from 2.1 npxG | −1.1 | 1 | 2.1 | 21 | 530 | 2 npG · 3.29 npxG−1.29 |
| 20 | Václav Jurečka Baník Ostrava · Czech First League 0 npG from 1.1 npxG | −1.1 | 0 | 1.1 | 7 | 462 | 1 npG · 2.15 npxG−1.15 |
| 20 | Lars Ranger Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien 0 npG from 1.1 npxG | −1.1 | 0 | 1.1 | 30 | 1,638 | 2 npG · 2.35 npxG−0.35 |
| 20 | Matteo Di Giusto FC Luzern · Swiss Super League 0 npG from 1.1 npxG | −1.1 | 0 | 1.1 | 25 | 773 | 2 npG · 2.08 npxG−0.08 |
| 24 | Sondre Sørløkk Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien 0 npG from 1.0 npxG | −1.0 | 0 | 1.0 | 21 | 1,170 | 0 npG · 2.28 npxG−2.28 |
| 24 | Danylo Sikan RSC Anderlecht · Jupiler Pro League 1 npG from 2.0 npxG | −1.0 | 1 | 2.0 | 23 | 505 | 1 npG · 2.50 npxG−1.50 |
- Above xG
- Below xG
- Last 5 gap of 2 or more
- under 600
Over a season, most finishing gaps of this size shrink. Shot quality, shot selection and finishing skill all move this number; so does chance.
Coverage 13 competitions feed this list. Which ones, and which cannot yet. Show Hide
- On this list
- Austrian Bundesliga Czech First League Ekstraklasa Eliteserien Eredivisie HNL Jupiler Pro League La Liga Liga Portugal Scottish Premiership Süper Lig Superliga (Denmark) Swiss Super League
- Lists open after 6 matches
- Bundesliga Ligue 1 Premier League Serie A Super League Greece
- Team figures only
- Allsvenskan Cypriot First Division NB I (Hungary) Niké Liga (Slovakia) Parva Liga (Bulgaria) Premier Division (Ireland) PrvaLiga (Slovenia) Russian Premier League SuperLiga (Romania) SuperLiga (Serbia) Ukrainian Premier League Veikkausliiga See the teams list