Goals vs xG
Who is scoring above and below their chances?
xG measures the quality of a player's chances. +3.8 means 3.8 more goals than chances like those usually produce.
Current season · 450+ min · 2.0+ npxG · Data to 20 September 2026
Eligibility
- Minutes
- At least 450 minutes this season, so one hot week can't top the list.
- Chances
- At least 2.0 npxG, and a gap of at least one goal either way. Penalties excluded, from the goals and from the xG.
- Competitions
- Only competitions with per-player shot data, once their median club has played 6 matches; see Coverage below. European leagues are at different stages of their seasons, so each competition's current season is used, whether it runs by the calendar year or across two.
Sergio Camello has scored 6 non-penalty goals from 2.1 npxG over their last five appearances, 3.9 above their chances: the largest qualifying gap across 12 competitions.
| # | Player | Last 5npG − npxG | Last 5npG | Last 5npxG | Shots | Min | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | Simen Nordli Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien 2 npG from 0.9 npxG | +1.1 | 2 | 0.9 | 19 | 760 | 3 npG · 2.01 npxG+0.99 |
| 47 | Camilo Durán Celtic · Scottish Premiership 3 npG from 1.9 npxG | +1.1 | 3 | 1.9 | 19 | 458 | 3 npG · 2.22 npxG+0.78 |
| 53 | Mame Alassane Niang HamKam · Eliteserien 2 npG from 1.0 npxG | +1.0 | 2 | 1.0 | 20 | 900 | 6 npG · 2.79 npxG+3.21 |
| 53 | Friday Etim FC Midtjylland · Superliga (Denmark) 3 npG from 2.0 npxG | +1.0 | 3 | 2.0 | 21 | 521 | 4 npG · 2.47 npxG+1.53 |
- Above xG
- Below xG
- Last 5 gap of 2 or more
- under 600
Over a season, most finishing gaps of this size shrink. Shot quality, shot selection and finishing skill all move this number; so does chance.
Coverage 13 competitions feed this list. Which ones, and which cannot yet. Show Hide
- On this list
- Austrian Bundesliga Czech First League Ekstraklasa Eliteserien Eredivisie HNL Jupiler Pro League La Liga Liga Portugal Scottish Premiership Süper Lig Superliga (Denmark) Swiss Super League
- Lists open after 6 matches
- Bundesliga Ligue 1 Premier League Serie A Super League Greece
- Team figures only
- Allsvenskan Cypriot First Division NB I (Hungary) Niké Liga (Slovakia) Parva Liga (Bulgaria) Premier Division (Ireland) PrvaLiga (Slovenia) Russian Premier League SuperLiga (Romania) SuperLiga (Serbia) Ukrainian Premier League Veikkausliiga See the teams list