xgEdge

Austria Wien's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 7 of 7 matching results

7 played this season

7 available results · Last 10 requested

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
2 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses

7 pts 7–13 goals −6 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
5.17 – 12.98
0.74 – 1.85 per match
xGD
-7.81
-1.12 per match
xG record
0 with the chances, 3 with even chances, 4 against them

Comparable xG: 7 of 7 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

7 pts 5.4 xPts

+1.6 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 7 of 7 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 10 · All competitions · All venues

Austria Wien's mixed record runs ahead of the chances they created and conceded. They out-created the opponent in 3 of 7 matches, for −7.81 xG difference overall on 5.17–12.98. Their points total of 7 sits 1.6 above the model's 5.4 xPts, so the results have slightly outrun the chances.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 7 results Austria Wien are 1.58 points above their xPts. The gap was widest at +1.90, against SC Austria Lustenau on Sun 13/09.

Points
7
xPts
5.42
Gap
+1.58
Sun 02/08 Sun 09/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 30/08 Wed 02/09 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.11 -0.14 +1.36 +0.74 +0.29 +1.90 +1.58 -0.11 -0.03 +1.50 -0.62 -0.45 +1.61 -0.32 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Austria Wien: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sun 02/08 Wolfsberger AC 0 0.11 -0.11 -0.11
Sun 09/08 LASK 0 0.03 -0.03 -0.14
Sun 16/08 TSV Hartberg 3 1.50 +1.50 +1.36
Sun 30/08 Red Bull Salzburg 0 0.62 -0.62 +0.74
Wed 02/09 WSG Tirol 0 0.45 -0.45 +0.29
Sun 13/09 SC Austria Lustenau 3 1.39 +1.61 +1.90
Sat 19/09 Grazer AK 1902 1 1.32 -0.32 +1.58

Scores and xG

Austria Wien first

  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Draw with even chances

    xG 0.83

    xGA 0.80

    xGD +0.03

    2:2 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Grazer AK 1902, Sat 19/09

    The match was drawn and the chance difference was approximately even. The two readings broadly align.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    1.32
    Points minus xPts
    -0.32

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Win with even chances

    xG 1.52

    xGA 1.48

    xGD +0.04

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SC Austria Lustenau, Sun 13/09

    The team won, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was stronger than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.40
    Points minus xPts
    +1.60

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.51

    xGA 1.69

    xGD -1.18

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · WSG Tirol, Wed 02/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.45
    Points minus xPts
    -0.45

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.76

    xGA 1.71

    xGD -0.95

    1:4 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Red Bull Salzburg, Sun 30/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.61
    Points minus xPts
    -0.61

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Win with even chances

    xG 0.99

    xGA 0.79

    xGD +0.20

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · TSV Hartberg, Sun 16/08

    The team won, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was stronger than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.51
    Points minus xPts
    +1.49

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.21

    xGA 3.71

    xGD -3.50

    0:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · LASK, Sun 09/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.03
    Points minus xPts
    -0.03

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.35

    xGA 2.80

    xGD -2.45

    0:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Wolfsberger AC, Sun 02/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.11
    Points minus xPts
    -0.11

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest overperformance

TSV Hartberg 2:0

· Away xG / xGA 0.99 – 0.79

Goal difference
+2
xGD
+0.20
GD minus xGD
+1.80

Among 7 comparable results.

Open match →

Biggest underperformance

Red Bull Salzburg 1:4

· Away xG / xGA 0.76 – 1.71

Goal difference
-3
xGD
-0.95
GD minus xGD
-2.05

Among 7 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →