xgEdge

Expected goals

SV Ried expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Austrian Bundesliga · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

SV Ried's attacking and defensive expected goals in Austrian Bundesliga 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

SV Ried xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.96 xG per match
#4/12
Attack (xG per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Red Bull Salzburg 2.68
#2 LASK 2.54
#3 SK Rapid Wien 2.26
#4 SV Ried 1.96
#5 SK Sturm Graz 1.83
#6 WSG Tirol 1.52
#7 SC Rheindorf Altach 1.24
#8 SC Austria Lustenau 1.24
#9 Grazer AK 1902 1.14
#10 Wolfsberger AC 1.14
#11 TSV Hartberg 1.01
#12 Austria Wien 0.74
League avg
1.61
Total
13.73 7 matches
Defence
1.75 xGA per match
#6/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 LASK 0.93
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 1.08
#3 SK Rapid Wien 1.10
#4 SK Sturm Graz 1.29
#5 SC Rheindorf Altach 1.33
#6 SV Ried 1.75
#7 Grazer AK 1902 1.75
#8 WSG Tirol 1.76
#9 Austria Wien 1.85
#10 SC Austria Lustenau 1.89
#11 TSV Hartberg 2.02
#12 Wolfsberger AC 2.53
League avg
1.61
Total
12.22 7 matches
xG difference
+0.22 xGD per match
#5/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 LASK +1.60
#2 Red Bull Salzburg +1.60
#3 SK Rapid Wien +1.16
#4 SK Sturm Graz +0.53
#5 SV Ried +0.22
#6 SC Rheindorf Altach -0.08
#7 WSG Tirol -0.24
#8 Grazer AK 1902 -0.61
#9 SC Austria Lustenau -0.65
#10 TSV Hartberg -1.01
#11 Austria Wien -1.12
#12 Wolfsberger AC -1.39
League avg
0.00
Total
+1.51 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.40 xPts per match
#6/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 LASK 2.33
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 2.33
#3 SK Rapid Wien 1.95
#4 SK Sturm Graz 1.70
#5 SC Rheindorf Altach 1.42
#6 SV Ried 1.40
#7 WSG Tirol 1.32
#8 Grazer AK 1902 1.20
#9 SC Austria Lustenau 0.93
#10 TSV Hartberg 0.79
#11 Austria Wien 0.77
#12 Wolfsberger AC 0.70
League avg
1.41
Total
9.82 vs 8 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

SV Ried's underlying numbers sit close to the Austrian Bundesliga average. They rank #5 for xG difference at +0.22 per match, driven by high shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 11 goals are 2.73 below 13.73 xG, while 8 points are 1.81 below 9.81 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.86 xG from penalties
11 13.73 -2.73 scored 2.73 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
12 12.22 -0.22 conceded 0.22 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
8 9.81 -1.81 1.81 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

SV Ried are 2.73 goals below their xG after 7 matches.

Goals
11
xG
13.73
Gap
-2.73
Sun 02/08 Sun 09/08 Fri 14/08 Fri 21/08 Sun 30/08 Fri 11/09 Sun 20/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.92 -1.99 -1.75 -2.50 -2.17 -1.99 -2.73 -1.92 -0.07 +0.24 -0.75 +0.33 +0.18 -0.74 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
SV Ried: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 02/08 SC Austria Lustenau 1 2.92 -1.92 -1.92
Sun 09/08 SK Rapid Wien 1 1.07 -0.07 -1.99
Fri 14/08 LASK 1 0.76 +0.24 -1.75
Fri 21/08 Grazer AK 1902 1 1.75 -0.75 -2.50
Sun 30/08 TSV Hartberg 2 1.67 +0.33 -2.17
Fri 11/09 Red Bull Salzburg 1 0.82 +0.18 -1.99
Sun 20/09 Wolfsberger AC 4 4.74 -0.74 -2.73

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

SV Ried xG trend

Current form -0.06 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 3 of 7 matches. The worst was against LASK on Fri 14/08 (-1.32).

npxG · last 6
1.58
npxGA · last 6
1.64
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +1.58 Sun 02/08 -0.33 Sun 09/08 -1.32 Fri 14/08 +0.03 Fri 21/08 -0.32 Sun 30/08 -0.61 Fri 11/09 +2.20 Sun 20/09 +0.18 season avg
SV Ried: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 02/08 SC Austria Lustenau 2.40 0.82 +1.58 +1.58
Sun 09/08 SK Rapid Wien 1.30 1.63 -0.33 +0.63
Fri 14/08 LASK 0.80 2.12 -1.32 -0.02
Fri 21/08 Grazer AK 1902 0.86 0.83 +0.03 -0.01
Sun 30/08 TSV Hartberg 1.67 1.99 -0.32 -0.07
Fri 11/09 Red Bull Salzburg 0.87 1.48 -0.61 -0.16
Sun 20/09 Wolfsberger AC 3.97 1.77 +2.20 +0.18

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.70 npxG and 1.52 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 4 hardest of 12 in Austrian Bundesliga
+0.06 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 3 hardest of 12 in Austrian Bundesliga
+0.07 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.06 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 4 hardest of 12

  1. Wolfsberger AC Home −0.48
  2. Red Bull Salzburg Home +0.74
  3. TSV Hartberg Away −0.52
  4. Grazer AK 1902 Home −0.29
  5. LASK Away +0.91
  6. SK Rapid Wien Home +0.30
  7. SC Austria Lustenau Away −0.24

Last 5

+0.07 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 3 hardest of 12

  1. Wolfsberger AC Home −0.48
  2. Red Bull Salzburg Home +0.74
  3. TSV Hartberg Away −0.52
  4. Grazer AK 1902 Home −0.29
  5. LASK Away +0.91

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

SV Ried shots and chance quality

High volume, average quality. SV Ried take 15.6 shots a match (league 14.1) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #5 in Austrian Bundesliga for volume and #4 for quality. 63% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%), and set pieces produce 22% of their npxG (league 27%).

Attack

Shot volume
15.6 shots per match
#5/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 LASK 21.0
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 20.4
=3 SK Rapid Wien 16.1
=3 SK Sturm Graz 16.1
#5 SV Ried 15.6
#6 SC Austria Lustenau 14.1
#7 Grazer AK 1902 12.7
#8 Wolfsberger AC 11.9
#9 SC Rheindorf Altach 11.7
#10 WSG Tirol 11.0
#11 Austria Wien 9.6
#12 TSV Hartberg 9.0
League avg
14.1
Total
109 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#4/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 SK Rapid Wien 0.13
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 0.13
#3 LASK 0.11
#4 SV Ried 0.11
#5 WSG Tirol 0.10
#6 SC Rheindorf Altach 0.10
#7 TSV Hartberg 0.10
#8 Wolfsberger AC 0.09
#9 SK Sturm Graz 0.09
#10 SC Austria Lustenau 0.08
#11 Grazer AK 1902 0.08
#12 Austria Wien 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
11.87 npxG from 109 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
17.0 shots per match
#10/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 LASK 7.7
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 11.0
#3 SK Rapid Wien 12.1
#4 WSG Tirol 12.4
#5 Austria Wien 13.0
=6 SC Rheindorf Altach 13.9
=6 SK Sturm Graz 13.9
#8 SC Austria Lustenau 15.0
#9 Grazer AK 1902 16.1
#10 SV Ried 17.0
#11 Wolfsberger AC 17.6
#12 TSV Hartberg 19.6
League avg
14.1
Total
119 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.09 npxGA per shot
#2/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 SK Sturm Graz 0.08
#2 SV Ried 0.09
#3 SK Rapid Wien 0.09
#4 TSV Hartberg 0.09
#5 SC Austria Lustenau 0.09
#6 Red Bull Salzburg 0.09
#7 SC Rheindorf Altach 0.09
#8 Grazer AK 1902 0.10
#9 LASK 0.10
#10 Wolfsberger AC 0.13
#11 Austria Wien 0.14
#12 WSG Tirol 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
10.64 npxGA from 119 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

63% inside the box

League avg 62%

From 69 of 109 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

61% allowed inside the box

League avg 62%

From 73 of 119 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

78% open play · 22% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 2.6 of 12.0 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

77% open play · 23% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 2.5 of 10.7 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

SV Ried home and away xG

SV Ried per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 3
xG / match 2.10 1.78
xGA / match 1.59 1.96
xGD / match +0.51 -0.18
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.52 1.25

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every SV Ried match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 5

Matches
5
xG / match
1.95
xGA / match
1.93
xGD / match
+0.01
Points
7 of 15
  1. Sun 20/09 Wolfsberger AC H Best underlying xG 4.74 P xGA 1.77 xGD +2.97
  2. Fri 11/09 Red Bull Salzburg H xG 0.82 xGA 1.56 xGD -0.74
  3. Sun 30/08 TSV Hartberg A xG 1.67 xGA 2.78 P xGD -1.11
  4. Fri 21/08 Grazer AK 1902 H xG 1.75 P xGA 1.24 xGD +0.51
  5. Fri 14/08 LASK A Weakest underlying xG 0.76 xGA 2.32 xGD -1.56

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 4.74. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

SV Ried in Austrian Bundesliga

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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