Saturday, 31/10/2026 at 17:00
27d 11h to kick-offSC Rheindorf Altach – SV Ried
Model updated 4 October, 06:30 Odds not yet available
What the model expects
- SC Rheindorf Altach
- 40%
- Draw
- 30%
- SV Ried
- 30%
| SC Rheindorf Altach | Draw | SV Ried | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fair odds | 2.50 | 3.28 | 3.38 |
- Total goals
- 2.65
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51%
- Both teams to score
- 59%
Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Model vs market
Market odds are not available for this match yet.
Why the model leans SC Rheindorf Altach
40% SC Rheindorf Altach to win
- Attack
- 9th vs 10th
- SC Rheindorf Altach attack v SV Ried defence
- Defence
- 6th vs 5th
- SC Rheindorf Altach defence v SV Ried attack
- Recent xG form
- -0.04 vs -0.10
- xGD per match, last 6
- Projected goals
- 1.43 – 1.22
- SC Rheindorf Altach v SV Ried
Team comparison
Season to date, per match, with each club's placing in the competition. The last row is the last 6 matches.
| Reading | SC Rheindorf Altach | SV Ried |
|---|---|---|
| xG / match | 1.24 · 7th | (better) 1.96 · 4th |
| xGA / match | (better) 1.33 · 5th | 1.75 · 6th |
| xGD / match | -0.08 · 6th | (better) +0.22 · 5th |
| xPts / match | (better) 1.42 · 5th | 1.40 · 6th |
| Last 6 xGD / match | (better) -0.04 | -0.10 |
The scorelines behind the model's numbers
No exact score is especially likely. The 3 most probable scorelines account for 34% of the model's distribution.
- SC Rheindorf Altach clean sheet
- 27%
- SC Rheindorf Altach 2+ goals
- 43%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 49%
- Both teams to score: no
- 41%
Most likely scorelines
- 1:1
- 15.4%
- 2:1
- 10.3%
- 1:2
- 8.6%
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How value is calculated
Value is probability × odds − 1 — it pays on average and over the long run, not necessarily in this match. The model knows nothing of absences, motivation or the schedule.
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Model details
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- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- SC Rheindorf Altach sample
- 20 matches
- SV Ried sample
- 20 matches
- Home xG sample · SC Rheindorf Altach
- 3 matches
- Away xG sample · SV Ried
- 3 matches
- Computed
- Sunday, 04/10/2026 at 06:30
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.