1. FC Köln 3:1 SV Werder Bremen: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Sunday, 12/04/2026 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

1. FC Köln Home 3.33 xG · 26 shots

SV Werder Bremen Away 0.99 xG · 6 shots

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

7' Said El Mala (pen.) 1. FC Köln · 0.82 xG chance 1–0
65' Ragnar Ache 1. FC Köln · 0.40 xG chance 2–0
76' Romano Schmid (pen.) SV Werder Bremen · 0.82 xG chance 2–1
90' Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson 1. FC Köln · 0.04 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

1. FC Köln SV Werder Bremen

Shots: 26; 6
On target: 9; 2
Inside the box: 16; 2
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.16
Open play xG: 1.28; 0.07
Set-piece xG: 1.40; 0.06
Penalties: 1; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.70 for 1. FC Köln and 0.13 for SV Werder Bremen.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

32 shots · 4.45 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

1. FC Köln
SV Werder Bremen
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

1. FC Köln

1.43 xG created 1.51 xGA

D 1.07 created, 1.47 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
L 0.48 created, 1.65 conceded against FC Augsburg
L 1.14 created, 1.95 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
D 1.22 created, 0.32 conceded against Hamburger SV
D 1.55 created, 1.30 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
D 3.11 created, 2.34 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt

SV Werder Bremen

1.47 xG created 1.01 xGA

L 1.63 created, 0.21 conceded against FC St. Pauli
W 2.64 created, 1.36 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
W 1.96 created, 1.16 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
L 0.88 created, 1.08 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
W 0.37 created, 0.76 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
L 1.34 created, 1.49 conceded against RB Leipzig

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

1. FC Köln: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

SV Werder Bremen 1:1 1. FC Köln 29/11/2025 xG 1.17 – 0.94

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.