Borussia M'gladbach 1:3 VfL Wolfsburg: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 13/12/2025 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

Borussia M'gladbach Home 0.80 xG · 15 shots

VfL Wolfsburg Away 1.72 xG · 11 shots

13 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

4' Patrick Wimmer VfL Wolfsburg · 0.35 xG chance 0–1
22' Konstantinos Koulierakis (o.g.) Borussia M'gladbach · 0.10 xG chance 1–1
30' Mohamed Amoura VfL Wolfsburg · 0.30 xG chance 1–2
34' Patrick Wimmer VfL Wolfsburg · 0.33 xG chance 1–3

The shots behind it

Borussia M'gladbach VfL Wolfsburg

Shots: 15; 11
On target: 5; 6
Inside the box: 10; 9
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.16
Open play xG: 0.75; 1.41
Set-piece xG: 0.13; 0.31
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.80 for Borussia M'gladbach.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 2.60 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Borussia M'gladbach
VfL Wolfsburg
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Borussia M'gladbach

1.76 xG created 1.55 xGA

L 0.79 created, 3.97 conceded against FC Bayern München
W 2.32 created, 0.88 conceded against FC St. Pauli
W 2.98 created, 2.22 conceded against 1. FC Köln
W 2.18 created, 0.33 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
D 0.42 created, 0.93 conceded against RB Leipzig
W 1.85 created, 0.97 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05

VfL Wolfsburg

1.21 xG created 1.68 xGA

W 0.37 created, 2.77 conceded against Hamburger SV
L 1.54 created, 1.23 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
L 0.57 created, 1.45 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
L 2.13 created, 1.10 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D 1.86 created, 1.59 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
W 0.81 created, 1.92 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.