xgEdge

Sunday, 01/02/2026 at 17:30

Full time
Match report · Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 3:2 1. FC Heidenheim

Borussia Dortmund Home 3.32 xG · 19 shots
1. FC Heidenheim Away 2.26 xG · 12 shots
32 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 44' Waldemar Anton Borussia Dortmund · 0.29 xG chance 1–0
  2. 45' Julian Niehues 1. FC Heidenheim · 0.22 xG chance 1–1
  3. 48' Julian Niehues 1. FC Heidenheim · 0.05 xG chance 1–2
  4. 68' Serhou Guirassy (pen.) Borussia Dortmund · 0.82 xG chance 2–2
  5. 69' Serhou Guirassy Borussia Dortmund · 0.06 xG chance 3–2

The shots behind it

Borussia Dortmund 1. FC Heidenheim
Shots
19
12
On target
5
3
Inside the box
14
10
xG per shot
0.18
0.19
Open play xG
0.85
1.10
Set-piece xG
0.87
1.14
Penalties
2
0
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.74 for Borussia Dortmund and 2.26 for 1. FC Heidenheim.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Borussia Dortmund · Serhou Guirassy · 68' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Borussia Dortmund · Serhou Guirassy · 85' · No goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Mikkel Kaufmann · 90' · No goal · 5 m · 0.46 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Marvin Pieringer · 58' · No goal · 3 m · 0.42 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Arijon Ibrahimović · 90' · No goal · 6 m · 0.33 xG Borussia Dortmund · Waldemar Anton · 44' · Goal · 4 m · 0.29 xG Borussia Dortmund · Nico Schlotterbeck · 74' · No goal · 3 m · 0.27 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Eren Dinkçi · 26' · No goal · 10 m · 0.23 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Julian Niehues · 45' · Goal · 6 m · 0.22 xG Borussia Dortmund · Nico Schlotterbeck · 30' · No goal · 4 m · 0.20 xG Borussia Dortmund · Serhou Guirassy · 38' · No goal · 9 m · 0.17 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Julian Niehues · 45' · No goal · 8 m · 0.16 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Eren Dinkçi · 51' · No goal · 2 m · 0.15 xG Borussia Dortmund · Serhou Guirassy · 22' · No goal · 2 m · 0.11 xG Borussia Dortmund · Julian Brandt · 27' · No goal · 12 m · 0.11 xG Borussia Dortmund · Serhou Guirassy · 86' · No goal · 9 m · 0.11 xG Borussia Dortmund · Serhou Guirassy · 47' · No goal · 9 m · 0.10 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Jan Schöppner · 90' · No goal · 11 m · 0.08 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Julian Niehues · 56' · No goal · 19 m · 0.06 xG Borussia Dortmund · Serhou Guirassy · 69' · Goal · 8 m · 0.06 xG Borussia Dortmund · Serhou Guirassy · 14' · No goal · 8 m · 0.05 xG Borussia Dortmund · Felix Nmecha · 40' · No goal · 19 m · 0.05 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Hennes Behrens · 45' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG Borussia Dortmund · Jobe Bellingham · 47' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Julian Niehues · 48' · Goal · 23 m · 0.05 xG Borussia Dortmund · Carney Chukwuemeka · 81' · No goal · 14 m · 0.05 xG Borussia Dortmund · Felix Nmecha · 28' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Borussia Dortmund · Jobe Bellingham · 16' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Sirlord Conteh · 90' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG Borussia Dortmund · Karim Adeyemi · 25' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Borussia Dortmund · Felix Nmecha · 62' · No goal · 31 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

31 shots · 5.60 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Borussia Dortmund
  • 1. FC Heidenheim
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Borussia Dortmund

2.04 xG created 0.94 xGA

  • D 0.93 created, 1.50 conceded against SC Freiburg
  • W 1.43 created, 0.28 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
  • D 2.38 created, 1.58 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
  • W 2.42 created, 0.52 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
  • W 3.20 created, 0.54 conceded against FC St. Pauli
  • W 1.89 created, 1.24 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
1. FC Heidenheim

1.54 xG created 2.04 xGA

  • L 2.44 created, 0.80 conceded against FC St. Pauli
  • L 1.04 created, 4.44 conceded against FC Bayern München
  • D 1.93 created, 2.99 conceded against 1. FC Köln
  • L 1.55 created, 1.39 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • D 0.99 created, 0.92 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
  • L 1.26 created, 1.69 conceded against RB Leipzig

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Borussia Dortmund: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.