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Friday, 31/10/2025 at 20:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 0:1 Borussia Dortmund

FC Augsburg Home 0.83 xG · 9 shots
Borussia Dortmund Away 0.32 xG · 5 shots
01 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 37' Serhou Guirassy Borussia Dortmund · 0.08 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

FC Augsburg Borussia Dortmund
Shots
9
5
On target
1
1
Inside the box
6
3
xG per shot
0.09
0.07
Open play xG
0.82
0.16
Set-piece xG
0.02
0.18
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.83 for FC Augsburg and 0.33 for Borussia Dortmund.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

FC Augsburg · Anton Kade · 76' · No goal · 7 m · 0.41 xG Borussia Dortmund · Serhou Guirassy · 43' · No goal · 5 m · 0.18 xG FC Augsburg · Mert Kömür · 20' · No goal · 12 m · 0.10 xG FC Augsburg · Elvis Rexhbeçaj · 71' · No goal · 10 m · 0.09 xG Borussia Dortmund · Serhou Guirassy · 37' · Goal · 14 m · 0.08 xG FC Augsburg · Anton Kade · 66' · No goal · 10 m · 0.07 xG FC Augsburg · Alexis Claude-Maurice · 76' · No goal · 19 m · 0.07 xG FC Augsburg · Elvis Rexhbeçaj · 76' · No goal · 22 m · 0.05 xG Borussia Dortmund · Maximilian Beier · 35' · No goal · 8 m · 0.03 xG Borussia Dortmund · Julian Brandt · 55' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Borussia Dortmund · Carney Chukwuemeka · 57' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG FC Augsburg · Elvis Rexhbeçaj · 59' · No goal · 15 m · 0.02 xG FC Augsburg · Noahkai Banks · 90' · No goal · 13 m · 0.02 xG FC Augsburg · Fabian Rieder · 29' · No goal · 19 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

14 shots · 1.18 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • FC Augsburg
  • Borussia Dortmund
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
FC Augsburg

1.05 xG created 1.70 xGA

  • L 0.78 created, 1.90 conceded against FC St. Pauli
  • L 1.12 created, 2.52 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • L 0.82 created, 1.24 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
  • W 1.71 created, 1.19 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
  • D 1.12 created, 0.58 conceded against 1. FC Köln
  • L 0.73 created, 2.77 conceded against RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund

1.61 xG created 0.94 xGA

  • W 2.76 created, 0.40 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
  • W 1.10 created, 0.80 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
  • W 1.44 created, 0.48 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • D 0.89 created, 1.09 conceded against RB Leipzig
  • L 1.58 created, 2.48 conceded against FC Bayern München
  • W 1.90 created, 0.39 conceded against 1. FC Köln

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.