FC St. Pauli 0:3 TSG Hoffenheim: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Sunday, 19/10/2025 at 17:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli Home 0.99 xG · 10 shots

TSG Hoffenheim Away 2.34 xG · 14 shots

03 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

54' Bazoumana Touré TSG Hoffenheim · 0.38 xG chance 0–1
59' Andrej Kramarić TSG Hoffenheim · 0.22 xG chance 0–2
79' Grischa Prömel TSG Hoffenheim · 0.66 xG chance 0–3

The shots behind it

FC St. Pauli TSG Hoffenheim

Shots: 10; 14
On target: 2; 5
Inside the box: 4; 10
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.17
Open play xG: 1.07; 2.13
Set-piece xG: 0.01; 0.25
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.06 for FC St. Pauli and 2.33 for TSG Hoffenheim.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 3.46 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

FC St. Pauli
TSG Hoffenheim
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

FC St. Pauli

1.19 xG created 1.22 xGA

D 1.29 created, 1.56 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
W 1.44 created, 0.35 conceded against Hamburger SV
W 1.90 created, 0.78 conceded against FC Augsburg
L 0.95 created, 2.11 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
L 0.82 created, 0.69 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L 0.76 created, 1.86 conceded against SV Werder Bremen

TSG Hoffenheim

1.50 xG created 1.69 xGA

W 0.45 created, 0.71 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L 1.37 created, 1.56 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
W 2.76 created, 2.59 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
L 0.75 created, 3.04 conceded against FC Bayern München
D 2.54 created, 1.31 conceded against SC Freiburg
L 1.12 created, 0.94 conceded against 1. FC Köln

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.