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Saturday, 16/05/2026 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli 1:3 VfL Wolfsburg

FC St. Pauli Home 1.48 xG · 11 shots
VfL Wolfsburg Away 3.50 xG · 20 shots
13 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 37' Konstantinos Koulierakis VfL Wolfsburg · 0.21 xG chance 0–1
  2. 57' Abdoulie Ceesay FC St. Pauli · 0.20 xG chance 1–1
  3. 64' Nikola Vasilj (o.g.) VfL Wolfsburg · 0.25 xG chance 1–2
  4. 80' Dženan Pejčinović VfL Wolfsburg · 0.39 xG chance 1–3

The shots behind it

FC St. Pauli VfL Wolfsburg
Shots
11
20
On target
2
11
Inside the box
7
17
xG per shot
0.14
0.19
Open play xG
0.90
2.09
Set-piece xG
0.61
0.97
Penalties
0
1

FC St. Pauli's shots add up to 1.51 xG and VfL Wolfsburg's to 3.88; the published figures are 1.48 and 3.50.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

VfL Wolfsburg · Christian Eriksen · 77' · No goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG FC St. Pauli · Andreas Hountondji · 42' · No goal · 4 m · 0.74 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Christian Eriksen · 80' · No goal · 7 m · 0.49 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Dženan Pejčinović · 80' · Goal · 10 m · 0.39 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Adam Daghim · 23' · No goal · 15 m · 0.33 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Nikola Vasilj · 64' · Goal · 2 m · 0.25 xG FC St. Pauli · Jackson Irvine · 88' · No goal · 3 m · 0.23 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Konstantinos Koulierakis · 37' · Goal · 3 m · 0.21 xG FC St. Pauli · Abdoulie Ceesay · 57' · Goal · 4 m · 0.20 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Yannick Gerhardt · 73' · No goal · 12 m · 0.19 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Adam Daghim · 23' · No goal · 4 m · 0.18 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Vinícius Souza · 23' · No goal · 5 m · 0.17 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Mattias Svanberg · 28' · No goal · 13 m · 0.17 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Adam Daghim · 37' · No goal · 8 m · 0.16 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Vinícius Souza · 33' · No goal · 4 m · 0.12 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Saël Kumbedi · 90' · No goal · 14 m · 0.10 xG FC St. Pauli · Abdoulie Ceesay · 72' · No goal · 10 m · 0.08 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Joakim Mæhle · 90' · No goal · 19 m · 0.07 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Mattias Svanberg · 7' · No goal · 14 m · 0.06 xG FC St. Pauli · Connor Metcalfe · 69' · No goal · 15 m · 0.06 xG FC St. Pauli · Tomoya Ando · 31' · No goal · 10 m · 0.05 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Mattias Svanberg · 46' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG FC St. Pauli · Martijn Kaars · 30' · No goal · 20 m · 0.04 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Christian Eriksen · 32' · No goal · 33 m · 0.04 xG FC St. Pauli · Abdoulie Ceesay · 90' · No goal · 7 m · 0.04 xG FC St. Pauli · Connor Metcalfe · 34' · No goal · 19 m · 0.03 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Dženan Pejčinović · 59' · No goal · 17 m · 0.03 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Dženan Pejčinović · 63' · No goal · 14 m · 0.03 xG FC St. Pauli · Joel Chima Fujita · 22' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG VfL Wolfsburg · Dženan Pejčinović · 54' · No goal · 16 m · 0.02 xG FC St. Pauli · Joel Chima Fujita · 90' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

31 shots · 5.39 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • FC St. Pauli
  • VfL Wolfsburg
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
FC St. Pauli

0.92 xG created 2.11 xGA

  • D 0.33 created, 1.95 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
  • L 0.49 created, 3.84 conceded against FC Bayern München
  • D 2.01 created, 1.33 conceded against 1. FC Köln
  • L 1.06 created, 1.61 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
  • L 0.84 created, 2.54 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • L 0.79 created, 1.37 conceded against RB Leipzig
VfL Wolfsburg

1.64 xG created 1.77 xGA

  • L 2.02 created, 4.25 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  • L 2.33 created, 1.29 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
  • W 0.19 created, 1.79 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
  • D 1.47 created, 0.51 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
  • D 0.82 created, 0.94 conceded against SC Freiburg
  • L 3.04 created, 1.85 conceded against FC Bayern München

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

FC St. Pauli: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.