xgEdge

Saturday, 22/08/2026 at 13:30

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Match report · Championship

Birmingham City 2:2 Bristol City

Birmingham City Home 1.98 xG · 9 shots
Bristol City Away 1.43 xG · 14 shots
22 Birmingham City had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

  1. 33' Scott Twine Bristol City · 0.10 xG chance 0–1
  2. 42' Sam Tickle (o.g.) Birmingham City 1–1
  3. 85' Dominic Ballard Bristol City · 0.10 xG chance 1–2
  4. 90' Demarai Gray (pen.) Birmingham City · 0.82 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Birmingham City Bristol City
Shots
9
14
On target
3
6
Inside the box
6
12
xG per shot
0.23
0.11
Open play xG
0.73
0.86
Set-piece xG
0.51
0.62
Penalties
1
0

Birmingham City's shots add up to 2.06 xG and Bristol City's to 1.47; the published figures are 1.98 and 1.43.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Birmingham City · Demarai Gray · 90' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Birmingham City · Carlos Vicente · 42' · No goal · 7 m · 0.59 xG Birmingham City · August Priske · 75' · No goal · 6 m · 0.47 xG Bristol City · Lorent Tolaj · 56' · No goal · 3 m · 0.30 xG Bristol City · Lorent Tolaj · 29' · No goal · 3 m · 0.19 xG Bristol City · Scott Twine · 54' · No goal · 8 m · 0.17 xG Bristol City · Lisav Naif Eissat · 29' · No goal · 3 m · 0.15 xG Bristol City · Rob Dickie · 25' · No goal · 7 m · 0.14 xG Bristol City · Scott Twine · 33' · Goal · 7 m · 0.10 xG Bristol City · Dominic Ballard · 85' · Goal · 11 m · 0.10 xG Bristol City · Joe Williams · 52' · No goal · 15 m · 0.10 xG Bristol City · Tomi Horvat · 76' · No goal · 22 m · 0.09 xG Birmingham City · Marvin Ducksch · 90' · No goal · 4 m · 0.06 xG Birmingham City · Tomoki Iwata · 52' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Bristol City · Scott Twine · 8' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Bristol City · Sam Greenwood · 90' · No goal · 11 m · 0.03 xG Birmingham City · Bright Osayi-Samuel · 18' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Bristol City · Jed Wallace · 57' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG Birmingham City · Luis Vázquez · 90' · No goal · 2 m · 0.03 xG Bristol City · Scott Twine · 33' · No goal · 12 m · 0.02 xG Birmingham City · Jhon Solís · 7' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Bristol City · George Tanner · 59' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Birmingham City · Sam Tickle · 42' · Goal · 1 m · 0.00 xG

All shots

23 shots · 3.53 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Birmingham City
  • Bristol City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Birmingham City

1.36 xG created 0.92 xGA

  • W 1.57 created, 0.08 conceded against Wrexham
  • D 0.45 created, 0.93 conceded against Hull City
  • W 1.95 created, 2.37 conceded against Preston North End
  • W 1.76 created, 1.13 conceded against Bristol City
  • D 1.67 created, 0.74 conceded against Portsmouth
  • D 0.77 created, 0.29 conceded against Sheffield United
Bristol City

1.14 xG created 1.88 xGA

  • D 0.83 created, 0.59 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • L 1.43 created, 2.14 conceded against Norwich City
  • D 0.94 created, 2.33 conceded against Southampton
  • L 1.13 created, 1.76 conceded against Birmingham City
  • W 1.98 created, 1.03 conceded against Stoke City
  • L 0.52 created, 3.40 conceded against Millwall

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.