Portsmouth 1:1 Birmingham City: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 02/05/2026 at 13:30

Full time

Match report · Championship

Portsmouth Home 0.74 xG · 14 shots

Birmingham City Away 1.67 xG · 13 shots

11 Birmingham City had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

8' Adrian Segečić Portsmouth · 0.05 xG chance 1–0
19' August Priske Birmingham City · 0.16 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Portsmouth Birmingham City

Shots: 14; 13
On target: 2; 5
Inside the box: 6; 10
xG per shot: 0.04; 0.10
Open play xG: 0.38; 0.44
Set-piece xG: 0.17; 0.87
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.54 for Portsmouth and 1.31 for Birmingham City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 1.86 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Portsmouth
Birmingham City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Portsmouth

0.98 xG created 1.56 xGA

D 0.93 created, 1.35 conceded against Oxford United
W 0.42 created, 1.28 conceded against Middlesbrough
W 1.78 created, 1.07 conceded against Ipswich Town
W 1.01 created, 0.91 conceded against Leicester City
L 0.10 created, 3.26 conceded against Coventry City
W 1.61 created, 1.51 conceded against Stoke City

Birmingham City

1.20 xG created 1.30 xGA

L 1.06 created, 1.52 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
L 0.41 created, 1.78 conceded against Ipswich Town
W 1.57 created, 0.08 conceded against Wrexham
D 0.45 created, 0.93 conceded against Hull City
W 1.95 created, 2.37 conceded against Preston North End
W 1.76 created, 1.13 conceded against Bristol City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Portsmouth: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Birmingham City 4:0 Portsmouth 01/11/2025 xG 3.11 – 0.23

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.