Hull City 1:1 Birmingham City: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 18/04/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Hull City Home 0.93 xG · 14 shots

Birmingham City Away 0.45 xG · 11 shots

11 Hull City had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

24' Joe Gelhardt Hull City · 0.12 xG chance 1–0
77' Tomoki Iwata Birmingham City · 0.10 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Hull City Birmingham City

Shots: 14; 11
On target: 3; 5
Inside the box: 9; 5
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.04
Open play xG: 0.50; 0.28
Set-piece xG: 0.47; 0.15
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.97 for Hull City and 0.44 for Birmingham City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 1.41 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Hull City
Birmingham City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Hull City

1.24 xG created 1.73 xGA

W 1.54 created, 1.14 conceded against Wrexham
L 0.34 created, 2.28 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
W 2.77 created, 0.68 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
D 0.82 created, 3.44 conceded against Oxford United
D 0.77 created, 0.47 conceded against Coventry City
L 1.20 created, 2.36 conceded against Sheffield United

Birmingham City

0.96 xG created 1.11 xGA

W 1.58 created, 0.37 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
D 1.01 created, 1.74 conceded against Sheffield United
L 0.15 created, 1.16 conceded against Derby County
L 1.06 created, 1.52 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
L 0.41 created, 1.78 conceded against Ipswich Town
W 1.57 created, 0.08 conceded against Wrexham

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Hull City: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Birmingham City 2:3 Hull City 18/10/2025 xG 2.85 – 1.15

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.