Birmingham City 1:0 Queens Park Rangers: xG & match report · Championship

Wednesday, 11/03/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Championship

Birmingham City Home 1.58 xG · 21 shots

Queens Park Rangers Away 0.37 xG · 10 shots

10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

6' Patrick Roberts Birmingham City · 0.18 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Birmingham City Queens Park Rangers

Shots: 21; 10
On target: 6; 1
Inside the box: 16; 5
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.04
Open play xG: 1.11; 0.31
Set-piece xG: 0.48; 0.07
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.59 for Birmingham City and 0.37 for Queens Park Rangers.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

31 shots · 1.97 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Birmingham City
Queens Park Rangers
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Birmingham City

0.91 xG created 0.90 xGA

W 1.84 created, 0.38 conceded against Leicester City
D 1.27 created, 0.44 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
W 1.32 created, 1.40 conceded against Norwich City
L 0.12 created, 1.21 conceded against Millwall
L 0.61 created, 1.07 conceded against Middlesbrough
L 0.32 created, 0.92 conceded against Charlton Athletic

Queens Park Rangers

1.02 xG created 1.78 xGA

D 0.71 created, 1.11 conceded against Charlton Athletic
L 1.72 created, 1.52 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
W 1.64 created, 2.11 conceded against Hull City
L 0.26 created, 1.56 conceded against Southampton
L 1.14 created, 0.69 conceded against Sheffield United
L 0.63 created, 3.68 conceded against Middlesbrough

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Birmingham City: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Queens Park Rangers 2:1 Birmingham City 09/12/2025 xG 1.51 – 0.31

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.