Saturday, 24/01/2026 at 16:00
Full timeBirmingham City 1:1 Stoke City
Goals
- 42' Tomoki Iwata Birmingham City · 0.26 xG chance 1–0
- 71' Phil Neumann (o.g.) Stoke City 1–1
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 18
- 8
- On target
- 5
- 2
- Inside the box
- 14
- 3
- xG per shot
- 0.10
- 0.04
- Open play xG
- 0.78
- 0.21
- Set-piece xG
- 1.10
- 0.11
- Penalties
- —
- —
Birmingham City's shots add up to 1.89 xG and Stoke City's to 0.32; the published figures are 1.87 and 0.33.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
26 shots · 2.20 xG
Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.
- Birmingham City
- Stoke City
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.69 xG created 1.17 xGA
- D 2.98 created, 0.79 conceded against Derby County
- D 1.70 created, 1.36 conceded against Southampton
- L 0.40 created, 1.56 conceded against Watford
- W 1.27 created, 1.33 conceded against Coventry City
- D 1.02 created, 1.60 conceded against Swansea City
- W 2.76 created, 0.36 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
1.16 xG created 1.08 xGA
- D 1.06 created, 0.59 conceded against Preston North End
- L 0.59 created, 2.50 conceded against Sheffield United
- W 1.65 created, 1.31 conceded against Hull City
- W 2.06 created, 0.54 conceded against Norwich City
- D 0.81 created, 0.29 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
- L 0.81 created, 1.22 conceded against Middlesbrough
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.