Blackburn Rovers 2:1 Cardiff City: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 10/10/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Blackburn Rovers Home 2.42 xG · 17 shots

Cardiff City Away 1.05 xG · 10 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

28' Andri Guðjohnsen Blackburn Rovers · 0.27 xG chance 1–0
38' Todd Cantwell Blackburn Rovers · 0.29 xG chance 2–0
53' Callum Robinson Cardiff City · 0.34 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Blackburn Rovers Cardiff City

Shots: 17; 10
On target: 7; 1
Inside the box: 13; 8
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.10
Open play xG: 1.30; 0.98
Set-piece xG: 0.40; 0.01
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.71 for Blackburn Rovers and 1.00 for Cardiff City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 2.68 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Blackburn Rovers
Cardiff City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Blackburn Rovers

0.95 xG created 1.49 xGA

L 0.92 created, 1.34 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
D 0.24 created, 1.46 conceded against Lincoln City
L 1.09 created, 2.19 conceded against Preston North End
L 1.62 created, 0.66 conceded against Sheffield United
W 1.23 created, 1.67 conceded against Millwall
D 0.59 created, 1.60 conceded against Portsmouth

Cardiff City

2.03 xG created 1.38 xGA

D 2.24 created, 1.28 conceded against Sheffield United
L 0.60 created, 2.09 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
L 1.37 created, 2.07 conceded against Portsmouth
D 3.60 created, 1.11 conceded against Stoke City
L 1.79 created, 0.48 conceded against Bolton Wanderers
W 2.60 created, 1.26 conceded against Charlton Athletic

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.