xgEdge

Saturday, 12/09/2026 at 13:30

Full time
Match report · Championship

Bolton Wanderers 1:0 Cardiff City

Bolton Wanderers Home 0.48 xG · 7 shots
Cardiff City Away 1.79 xG · 17 shots
10 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 90' Thierry Gale Bolton Wanderers · 0.05 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Bolton Wanderers Cardiff City
Shots
7
17
On target
5
10
Inside the box
3
13
xG per shot
0.06
0.11
Open play xG
0.38
1.41
Set-piece xG
0.03
0.42
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.42 for Bolton Wanderers and 1.82 for Cardiff City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Cardiff City · Krystian Bielik · 13' · No goal · 3 m · 0.28 xG Cardiff City · Yousef Salech · 66' · No goal · 6 m · 0.24 xG Cardiff City · Jack Moylan · 73' · No goal · 14 m · 0.23 xG Cardiff City · Chris Willock · 8' · No goal · 15 m · 0.15 xG Cardiff City · Yousef Salech · 13' · No goal · 4 m · 0.14 xG Cardiff City · Callum Robinson · 90' · No goal · 11 m · 0.13 xG Cardiff City · Yousef Salech · 12' · No goal · 6 m · 0.13 xG Bolton Wanderers · Max Conway · 87' · No goal · 11 m · 0.12 xG Cardiff City · Yousef Salech · 6' · No goal · 12 m · 0.12 xG Cardiff City · Joel Colwill · 12' · No goal · 10 m · 0.09 xG Bolton Wanderers · Samuel Iling Junior · 25' · No goal · 16 m · 0.08 xG Cardiff City · Joel Colwill · 12' · No goal · 8 m · 0.07 xG Bolton Wanderers · Kyliane Dong · 20' · No goal · 12 m · 0.06 xG Cardiff City · Cian Ashford · 80' · No goal · 21 m · 0.05 xG Bolton Wanderers · Thierry Gale · 90' · Goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG Cardiff City · Ollie Tanner · 66' · No goal · 6 m · 0.05 xG Bolton Wanderers · Samuel Iling Junior · 30' · No goal · 21 m · 0.05 xG Cardiff City · Chris Willock · 53' · No goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG Bolton Wanderers · Josh Sheehan · 71' · No goal · 25 m · 0.03 xG Cardiff City · Ollie Tanner · 90' · No goal · 20 m · 0.03 xG Cardiff City · Ollie Tanner · 82' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Bolton Wanderers · Rúben Rodrigues · 28' · No goal · 27 m · 0.03 xG Cardiff City · Chris Willock · 38' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Cardiff City · Alex Robertson · 20' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

24 shots · 2.24 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Bolton Wanderers
  • Cardiff City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Bolton Wanderers

1.30 xG created 1.89 xGA

  • W 1.10 created, 1.12 conceded against Preston North End
  • D 0.19 created, 1.82 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • L 1.89 created, 1.32 conceded against Lincoln City
  • L 1.91 created, 2.21 conceded against Sheffield United
  • L 1.15 created, 2.63 conceded against Millwall
  • L 1.56 created, 2.22 conceded against West Ham United
Cardiff City

1.78 xG created 1.60 xGA

  • D 0.90 created, 1.43 conceded against Wrexham
  • D 1.98 created, 1.62 conceded against Derby County
  • D 2.24 created, 1.28 conceded against Sheffield United
  • L 0.60 created, 2.09 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • L 1.37 created, 2.07 conceded against Portsmouth
  • D 3.60 created, 1.11 conceded against Stoke City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.