xgEdge

Saturday, 04/10/2025 at 13:30

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Match report · Championship

Blackburn Rovers 1:1 Stoke City

Blackburn Rovers Home 1.88 xG · 17 shots
Stoke City Away 0.81 xG · 11 shots
11 Blackburn Rovers had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

  1. 49' Million Manhoef Stoke City · 0.18 xG chance 0–1
  2. 82' Augustus Kargbo Blackburn Rovers · 0.19 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Blackburn Rovers Stoke City
Shots
17
11
On target
5
6
Inside the box
11
10
xG per shot
0.11
0.07
Open play xG
1.44
0.68
Set-piece xG
0.48
0.12
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.88 for Blackburn Rovers.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Blackburn Rovers · Dion De Neve · 77' · No goal · 5 m · 0.29 xG Blackburn Rovers · Augustus Kargbo · 71' · No goal · 6 m · 0.21 xG Blackburn Rovers · Sondre Tronstad · 5' · No goal · 6 m · 0.19 xG Blackburn Rovers · Augustus Kargbo · 82' · Goal · 7 m · 0.19 xG Stoke City · Million Manhoef · 49' · Goal · 11 m · 0.18 xG Stoke City · Million Manhoef · 80' · No goal · 14 m · 0.18 xG Blackburn Rovers · Augustus Kargbo · 86' · No goal · 5 m · 0.16 xG Blackburn Rovers · Todd Cantwell · 36' · No goal · 9 m · 0.16 xG Blackburn Rovers · Augustus Kargbo · 88' · No goal · 8 m · 0.14 xG Blackburn Rovers · Todd Cantwell · 9' · No goal · 12 m · 0.13 xG Stoke City · Million Manhoef · 28' · No goal · 16 m · 0.11 xG Blackburn Rovers · Ryan Hedges · 9' · No goal · 18 m · 0.08 xG Stoke City · Million Manhoef · 45' · No goal · 15 m · 0.08 xG Stoke City · Million Manhoef · 63' · No goal · 15 m · 0.07 xG Blackburn Rovers · Ryan Hedges · 90' · No goal · 12 m · 0.07 xG Blackburn Rovers · Ryoya Morishita · 42' · No goal · 9 m · 0.07 xG Blackburn Rovers · Todd Cantwell · 58' · No goal · 21 m · 0.06 xG Blackburn Rovers · Sondre Tronstad · 78' · No goal · 23 m · 0.06 xG Stoke City · Tomáš Rigo · 7' · No goal · 8 m · 0.05 xG Stoke City · Million Manhoef · 6' · No goal · 6 m · 0.04 xG Blackburn Rovers · Ryan Hedges · 54' · No goal · 20 m · 0.04 xG Blackburn Rovers · Todd Cantwell · 90' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Stoke City · Million Manhoef · 33' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG Stoke City · Sorba Thomas · 22' · No goal · 8 m · 0.03 xG Stoke City · Sorba Thomas · 1' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Stoke City · Jamie Donley · 90' · No goal · 4 m · 0.02 xG Blackburn Rovers · Sean McLoughlin · 90' · No goal · 10 m · 0.02 xG Blackburn Rovers · Todd Cantwell · 30' · No goal · 22 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

28 shots · 2.73 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Blackburn Rovers
  • Stoke City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Blackburn Rovers

1.33 xG created 1.22 xGA

  • L 0.43 created, 2.00 conceded against Birmingham City
  • W 3.03 created, 0.52 conceded against Hull City
  • L 1.92 created, 2.09 conceded against Norwich City
  • W 1.45 created, 0.75 conceded against Watford
  • L 0.55 created, 1.47 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • L 0.61 created, 0.46 conceded against Swansea City
Stoke City

1.18 xG created 1.17 xGA

  • W 1.50 created, 2.59 conceded against Southampton
  • L 0.95 created, 0.66 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • W 0.49 created, 0.52 conceded against Birmingham City
  • L 1.09 created, 1.33 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • D 1.85 created, 1.32 conceded against Norwich City
  • D 1.20 created, 0.61 conceded against Middlesbrough

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.