xgEdge

Tuesday, 30/09/2025 at 20:45

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Match report · Championship

Middlesbrough 0:0 Stoke City

Middlesbrough Home 0.61 xG · 12 shots
Stoke City Away 1.20 xG · 18 shots
00 Stoke City had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

Middlesbrough Stoke City
Shots
12
18
On target
4
5
Inside the box
7
10
xG per shot
0.05
0.09
Open play xG
0.60
1.47
Set-piece xG
0.05
0.16
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.64 for Middlesbrough and 1.61 for Stoke City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Stoke City · Divin Mubama · 90' · No goal · 6 m · 0.39 xG Stoke City · Róbert Boženík · 73' · No goal · 16 m · 0.31 xG Stoke City · Tomáš Rigo · 80' · No goal · 11 m · 0.25 xG Middlesbrough · Aidan Morris · 48' · No goal · 10 m · 0.11 xG Middlesbrough · Sverre Nypan · 39' · No goal · 16 m · 0.10 xG Middlesbrough · Tommy Conway · 80' · No goal · 18 m · 0.10 xG Stoke City · Jun-Ho Bae · 83' · No goal · 19 m · 0.10 xG Stoke City · Ben Wilmot · 90' · No goal · 2 m · 0.08 xG Middlesbrough · Tommy Conway · 27' · No goal · 15 m · 0.08 xG Stoke City · Ben Wilmot · 86' · No goal · 20 m · 0.07 xG Stoke City · Million Manhoef · 48' · No goal · 11 m · 0.07 xG Stoke City · Sorba Thomas · 49' · No goal · 21 m · 0.07 xG Stoke City · Tomáš Rigo · 59' · No goal · 19 m · 0.05 xG Middlesbrough · Sontje Hansen · 87' · No goal · 12 m · 0.05 xG Middlesbrough · David Strelec · 8' · No goal · 6 m · 0.05 xG Stoke City · Million Manhoef · 50' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG Middlesbrough · Hayden Hackney · 7' · No goal · 24 m · 0.04 xG Stoke City · Sorba Thomas · 47' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Stoke City · Tomáš Rigo · 79' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Middlesbrough · Aidan Morris · 16' · No goal · 18 m · 0.03 xG Stoke City · Tatsuki Seko · 29' · No goal · 19 m · 0.03 xG Stoke City · Bosun Lawal · 45' · No goal · 7 m · 0.03 xG Stoke City · Eric Bocat · 52' · No goal · 23 m · 0.02 xG Middlesbrough · Sontje Hansen · 69' · No goal · 9 m · 0.02 xG Middlesbrough · David Strelec · 54' · No goal · 18 m · 0.02 xG Stoke City · Róbert Boženík · 50' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Middlesbrough · David Strelec · 15' · No goal · 11 m · 0.02 xG Middlesbrough · Sverre Nypan · 36' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Stoke City · Bosun Lawal · 3' · No goal · 12 m · 0.01 xG Stoke City · Junior Tchamadeu · 84' · No goal · 5 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

30 shots · 2.27 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Middlesbrough
  • Stoke City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Middlesbrough

1.06 xG created 0.79 xGA

  • W 0.99 created, 0.60 conceded against Millwall
  • W 1.51 created, 1.18 conceded against Norwich City
  • W 1.09 created, 0.44 conceded against Sheffield United
  • D 1.52 created, 0.75 conceded against Preston North End
  • W 0.96 created, 0.89 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • D 0.29 created, 0.85 conceded against Southampton
Stoke City

1.32 xG created 1.32 xGA

  • W 2.06 created, 1.50 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • W 1.50 created, 2.59 conceded against Southampton
  • L 0.95 created, 0.66 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • W 0.49 created, 0.52 conceded against Birmingham City
  • L 1.09 created, 1.33 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • D 1.85 created, 1.32 conceded against Norwich City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.