Bolton Wanderers 2:3 West Ham United: xG & match report · Championship

Tuesday, 08/09/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Bolton Wanderers Home 1.56 xG · 13 shots

West Ham United Away 2.22 xG · 11 shots

23 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

13' Jarrod Bowen West Ham United · 0.42 xG chance 0–1
18' Ethan Erhahon Bolton Wanderers · 0.08 xG chance 1–1
27' Rúben Rodrigues (pen.) Bolton Wanderers · 0.82 xG chance 2–1
31' Konstantinos Mavropanos West Ham United · 0.07 xG chance 2–2
77' Jarrod Bowen West Ham United · 0.44 xG chance 2–3

The shots behind it

Bolton Wanderers West Ham United

Shots: 13; 11
On target: 6; 7
Inside the box: 10; 11
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.21
Open play xG: 0.31; 2.05
Set-piece xG: 0.42; 0.26
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.73 for Bolton Wanderers and 2.28 for West Ham United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 3.86 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Bolton Wanderers
West Ham United
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Bolton Wanderers

1.25 xG created 1.82 xGA

W 1.10 created, 1.12 conceded against Preston North End
D 0.19 created, 1.82 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
L 1.89 created, 1.32 conceded against Lincoln City
L 1.91 created, 2.21 conceded against Sheffield United
L 1.15 created, 2.63 conceded against Millwall

West Ham United

2.18 xG created 1.12 xGA

D 1.33 created, 2.33 conceded against Burnley
L 2.84 created, 0.62 conceded against Charlton Athletic
D 0.89 created, 1.60 conceded against Watford
W 2.05 created, 0.94 conceded against Wolverhampton
W 3.79 created, 0.11 conceded against Derby County

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.