Millwall 4:0 Bolton Wanderers: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 05/09/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Millwall Home 2.63 xG · 12 shots

Bolton Wanderers Away 1.15 xG · 13 shots

40 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

38' Caleb Taylor Millwall · 0.09 xG chance 1–0
83' Lyndon Dykes Millwall · 1.00 xG chance 2–0
88' Lyndon Dykes Millwall · 0.07 xG chance 3–0
90' Camiel Neghli Millwall · 0.27 xG chance 4–0

The shots behind it

Millwall Bolton Wanderers

Shots: 12; 13
On target: 5; 4
Inside the box: 11; 11
xG per shot: 0.22; 0.07
Open play xG: 2.05; 0.85
Set-piece xG: 0.62; 0.09
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.61 for Millwall and 0.95 for Bolton Wanderers.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 3.60 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Millwall
Bolton Wanderers
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Millwall

1.97 xG created 1.36 xGA

D 2.03 created, 1.00 conceded against Leicester City
W 2.14 created, 1.09 conceded against Oxford United
W 3.40 created, 0.52 conceded against Bristol City
W 2.69 created, 1.02 conceded against Norwich City
L 1.35 created, 3.62 conceded against Southampton
L 0.23 created, 0.88 conceded against Wrexham

Bolton Wanderers

1.27 xG created 1.62 xGA

W 1.10 created, 1.12 conceded against Preston North End
D 0.19 created, 1.82 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
L 1.89 created, 1.32 conceded against Lincoln City
L 1.91 created, 2.21 conceded against Sheffield United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.