xgEdge

Saturday, 29/08/2026 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Watford 1:1 West Ham United

Watford Home 1.60 xG · 15 shots
West Ham United Away 0.89 xG · 14 shots
11 Watford had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

  1. 19' Amin Nabizada Watford · 0.06 xG chance 1–0
  2. 27' Matthew Pollock (o.g.) West Ham United 1–1

The shots behind it

Watford West Ham United
Shots
15
14
On target
4
2
Inside the box
14
6
xG per shot
0.09
0.05
Open play xG
0.97
0.40
Set-piece xG
0.36
0.36
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.31 for Watford and 0.74 for West Ham United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Watford · Mamadou Doumbia · 77' · No goal · 3 m · 0.26 xG West Ham United · Manor Solomon · 56' · No goal · 9 m · 0.17 xG Watford · Iker Bravo · 21' · No goal · 12 m · 0.17 xG West Ham United · Mohamadou Kanté · 37' · No goal · 5 m · 0.16 xG Watford · Luca Kjerrumgaard · 47' · No goal · 15 m · 0.15 xG Watford · Amin Nabizada · 13' · No goal · 9 m · 0.12 xG Watford · Iker Bravo · 82' · No goal · 13 m · 0.11 xG Watford · Luca Kjerrumgaard · 46' · No goal · 4 m · 0.10 xG Watford · Iker Bravo · 21' · No goal · 13 m · 0.10 xG Watford · Rocco Vata · 77' · No goal · 14 m · 0.09 xG West Ham United · Max Kilman · 90' · No goal · 9 m · 0.09 xG West Ham United · Jarrod Bowen · 5' · No goal · 13 m · 0.09 xG West Ham United · Airidas Golambeckis · 26' · No goal · 8 m · 0.08 xG Watford · Luca Kjerrumgaard · 21' · No goal · 14 m · 0.07 xG Watford · Amin Nabizada · 19' · Goal · 11 m · 0.06 xG West Ham United · Mohamadou Kanté · 22' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Watford · Jordan Zemura · 44' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Watford · Othmane Maamma · 19' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG West Ham United · Divine Mukasa · 41' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG West Ham United · Joël Piroe · 67' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG West Ham United · Lewis Orford · 72' · No goal · 23 m · 0.02 xG West Ham United · Manor Solomon · 82' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Watford · Omar Haktab Traore · 45' · No goal · 33 m · 0.02 xG West Ham United · Arne Engels · 55' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Watford · Othmane Maamma · 66' · No goal · 9 m · 0.02 xG West Ham United · Jarrod Bowen · 52' · No goal · 26 m · 0.01 xG Watford · Rocco Vata · 90' · No goal · 29 m · 0.01 xG West Ham United · Jarrod Bowen · 36' · No goal · 24 m · 0.01 xG West Ham United · Matthew Pollock · 27' · Goal · 2 m · 0.00 xG

All shots

29 shots · 2.09 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Watford
  • West Ham United
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Watford

1.00 xG created 1.59 xGA

  • L 1.29 created, 0.81 conceded against Sheffield United
  • L 0.67 created, 1.40 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • L 0.85 created, 2.30 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • L 1.70 created, 1.39 conceded against Coventry City
  • W 0.81 created, 1.71 conceded against Southampton
  • D 0.65 created, 1.92 conceded against Wrexham
West Ham United

2.09 xG created 1.48 xGA

  • D 1.33 created, 2.33 conceded against Burnley
  • L 2.84 created, 0.62 conceded against Charlton Athletic

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.