Friday, 30/01/2026 at 21:00
Full timeBristol City 0:5 Derby County
Goals
- 13' Rhian Brewster Derby County · 0.45 xG chance 0–1
- 16' Ben Brereton Díaz Derby County · 0.08 xG chance 0–2
- 36' Bobby Clark Derby County · 0.31 xG chance 0–3
- 66' Patrick Agyemang Derby County · 0.03 xG chance 0–4
- 88' Lars-Jørgen Salvesen Derby County · 0.44 xG chance 0–5
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 7
- 17
- On target
- 1
- 7
- Inside the box
- 3
- 13
- xG per shot
- 0.03
- 0.12
- Open play xG
- 0.15
- 1.97
- Set-piece xG
- 0.09
- 0.02
- Penalties
- —
- —
Derby County's shots add up to 1.99 xG; the published figure is 2.00.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
24 shots · 2.22 xG
Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.
- Bristol City
- Derby County
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.09 xG created 0.85 xGA
- L 0.96 created, 0.63 conceded against Millwall
- W 1.51 created, 0.42 conceded against Portsmouth
- L 0.42 created, 1.08 conceded against Preston North End
- D 0.44 created, 1.20 conceded against Oxford United
- L 0.67 created, 1.08 conceded against Ipswich Town
- W 2.55 created, 0.71 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
1.17 xG created 0.98 xGA
- L 0.69 created, 0.68 conceded against Leicester City
- W 1.22 created, 1.32 conceded against Middlesbrough
- L 1.35 created, 1.00 conceded against Wrexham
- W 1.76 created, 0.99 conceded against Preston North End
- W 1.71 created, 0.89 conceded against Charlton Athletic
- D 0.29 created, 0.97 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.