xgEdge

Monday, 29/12/2025 at 20:45

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Match report · Championship

Leicester City 2:1 Derby County

Leicester City Home 0.68 xG · 8 shots
Derby County Away 0.69 xG · 9 shots
21 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 6' Bobby De Cordova-Reid Leicester City · 0.23 xG chance 1–0
  2. 9' Rhian Brewster Derby County · 0.16 xG chance 1–1
  3. 41' Jordan James Leicester City · 0.17 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Leicester City Derby County
Shots
8
9
On target
2
2
Inside the box
5
7
xG per shot
0.09
0.08
Open play xG
0.66
0.26
Set-piece xG
0.04
0.41
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.68 for Leicester City and 0.69 for Derby County.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Leicester City · Bobby De Cordova-Reid · 6' · Goal · 8 m · 0.23 xG Leicester City · Jordan James · 41' · Goal · 12 m · 0.17 xG Derby County · Rhian Brewster · 9' · Goal · 12 m · 0.16 xG Derby County · Lars-Jørgen Salvesen · 90' · No goal · 8 m · 0.16 xG Leicester City · Stephy Mavididi · 90' · No goal · 14 m · 0.10 xG Derby County · Liam Thompson · 2' · No goal · 14 m · 0.10 xG Leicester City · Luke Thomas · 26' · No goal · 12 m · 0.08 xG Derby County · Matt Clarke · 80' · No goal · 8 m · 0.06 xG Derby County · Andreas Weimann · 90' · No goal · 17 m · 0.05 xG Derby County · Rhian Brewster · 36' · No goal · 12 m · 0.05 xG Derby County · Rhian Brewster · 45' · No goal · 24 m · 0.04 xG Leicester City · Jordan James · 66' · No goal · 22 m · 0.04 xG Derby County · Bobby Clark · 61' · No goal · 9 m · 0.04 xG Leicester City · Abdul Fatawu Issahaku · 34' · No goal · 18 m · 0.04 xG Leicester City · Stephy Mavididi · 52' · No goal · 13 m · 0.02 xG Derby County · Patrick Agyemang · 61' · No goal · 14 m · 0.02 xG Leicester City · Hamza Choudhury · 21' · No goal · 30 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

17 shots · 1.37 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Leicester City
  • Derby County
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Leicester City

1.07 xG created 1.55 xGA

  • L 0.98 created, 0.97 conceded against Sheffield United
  • W 1.20 created, 1.43 conceded against Derby County
  • D 1.69 created, 2.42 conceded against Bristol City
  • W 0.97 created, 1.28 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • L 1.14 created, 1.77 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • L 0.43 created, 1.40 conceded against Watford
Derby County

1.13 xG created 1.16 xGA

  • L 0.92 created, 1.53 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • L 1.43 created, 1.20 conceded against Leicester City
  • D 1.20 created, 0.91 conceded against Millwall
  • W 1.64 created, 0.18 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • D 0.79 created, 0.15 conceded against Portsmouth
  • D 0.79 created, 2.98 conceded against Birmingham City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Leicester City: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.