Sunday, 04/01/2026 at 16:00
Full timeDerby County 1:2 Wrexham
Goals
- 25' Sam Smith Wrexham · 0.16 xG chance 0–1
- 34' Ben Brereton Díaz Derby County · 0.65 xG chance 1–1
- 48' Matty James Wrexham · 0.03 xG chance 1–2
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 13
- 11
- On target
- 5
- 3
- Inside the box
- 11
- 6
- xG per shot
- 0.11
- 0.13
- Open play xG
- 1.13
- 1.41
- Set-piece xG
- 0.24
- 0.00
- Penalties
- —
- —
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.36 for Derby County and 1.44 for Wrexham.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
24 shots · 2.77 xG
Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.
- Derby County
- Wrexham
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.06 xG created 1.04 xGA
- D 1.20 created, 0.91 conceded against Millwall
- W 1.64 created, 0.18 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
- D 0.79 created, 0.15 conceded against Portsmouth
- D 0.79 created, 2.98 conceded against Birmingham City
- L 0.69 created, 0.68 conceded against Leicester City
- W 1.22 created, 1.32 conceded against Middlesbrough
1.39 xG created 1.58 xGA
- L 1.32 created, 2.93 conceded against Hull City
- D 1.20 created, 0.83 conceded against Watford
- L 0.35 created, 2.12 conceded against Swansea City
- W 2.29 created, 1.89 conceded against Sheffield United
- W 2.53 created, 1.07 conceded against Preston North End
- W 0.67 created, 0.66 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.