Monday, 29/12/2025 at 20:45
Full timeMillwall 2:1 Bristol City
Goals
- 16' Camiel Neghli Millwall · 0.07 xG chance 1–0
- 49' Adam Randell Bristol City · 0.11 xG chance 1–1
- 81' Macaulay Langstaff Millwall · 0.24 xG chance 2–1
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 8
- 16
- On target
- 2
- 3
- Inside the box
- 5
- 10
- xG per shot
- 0.08
- 0.06
- Open play xG
- 0.56
- 0.61
- Set-piece xG
- 0.04
- 0.35
- Penalties
- —
- —
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.61 for Millwall and 0.96 for Bristol City.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
24 shots · 1.56 xG
Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.
- Millwall
- Bristol City
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
0.91 xG created 1.51 xGA
- W 1.83 created, 1.20 conceded against Southampton
- W 0.97 created, 1.44 conceded against Bristol City
- D 0.91 created, 1.20 conceded against Derby County
- L 0.82 created, 2.03 conceded against Hull City
- L 0.59 created, 2.35 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
- D 0.36 created, 0.81 conceded against Ipswich Town
1.41 xG created 1.67 xGA
- W 1.60 created, 1.47 conceded against Portsmouth
- L 1.44 created, 0.97 conceded against Millwall
- D 2.42 created, 1.69 conceded against Leicester City
- L 1.34 created, 2.11 conceded against Coventry City
- W 0.90 created, 2.18 conceded against Middlesbrough
- W 0.74 created, 1.59 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.