Bristol City 2:1 Portsmouth: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 29/08/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Bristol City Home 0.61 xG · 9 shots

Portsmouth Away 1.37 xG · 14 shots

21 The result went against the chances

Goals

31' Lorent Tolaj Bristol City · 0.14 xG chance 1–0
56' Jason Knight Bristol City · 0.14 xG chance 2–0
90' Marko Milovanović (pen.) Portsmouth · 0.82 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Bristol City Portsmouth

Shots: 9; 14
On target: 3; 1
Inside the box: 6; 8
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.10
Open play xG: 0.28; 0.26
Set-piece xG: 0.33; 0.32
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.58 for Portsmouth.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 2.01 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Bristol City
Portsmouth
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Bristol City

1.24 xG created 2.11 xGA

L 1.43 created, 2.14 conceded against Norwich City
D 0.94 created, 2.33 conceded against Southampton
L 1.13 created, 1.76 conceded against Birmingham City
W 1.98 created, 1.03 conceded against Stoke City
L 0.52 created, 3.40 conceded against Millwall
D 1.43 created, 1.98 conceded against Birmingham City

Portsmouth

1.14 xG created 1.96 xGA

W 1.01 created, 0.91 conceded against Leicester City
L 0.10 created, 3.26 conceded against Coventry City
W 1.61 created, 1.51 conceded against Stoke City
D 0.74 created, 1.67 conceded against Birmingham City
L 2.17 created, 2.07 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
W 1.21 created, 2.32 conceded against Lincoln City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Bristol City: 2 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.