Stoke City 1:1 Blackburn Rovers: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 11/04/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Stoke City Home 1.74 xG · 10 shots

Blackburn Rovers Away 0.67 xG · 11 shots

11 Stoke City had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

21' Adam Forshaw Blackburn Rovers · 0.05 xG chance 0–1
56' Jesurun Rak-Sakyi Stoke City · 0.85 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Stoke City Blackburn Rovers

Shots: 10; 11
On target: 3; 3
Inside the box: 9; 6
xG per shot: 0.19; 0.05
Open play xG: 1.40; 0.46
Set-piece xG: 0.48; 0.09
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.84 for Stoke City and 0.54 for Blackburn Rovers.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

21 shots · 2.43 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Stoke City
Blackburn Rovers
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Stoke City

1.60 xG created 1.87 xGA

L 0.82 created, 1.15 conceded against Swansea City
D 3.43 created, 1.48 conceded against Ipswich Town
W 1.53 created, 1.83 conceded against Watford
L 0.99 created, 2.81 conceded against Preston North End
W 2.54 created, 1.39 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
L 0.30 created, 2.57 conceded against Derby County

Blackburn Rovers

1.07 xG created 1.04 xGA

D 1.20 created, 0.62 conceded against Portsmouth
L 0.45 created, 1.16 conceded against Oxford United
W 2.18 created, 1.38 conceded against Millwall
D 0.32 created, 1.50 conceded against Middlesbrough
W 1.52 created, 1.06 conceded against Birmingham City
D 0.75 created, 0.53 conceded against West Bromwich Albion

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Stoke City: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Blackburn Rovers 1:1 Stoke City 04/10/2025 xG 1.88 – 0.81

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.