xgEdge

Saturday, 01/11/2025 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Stoke City 5:1 Bristol City

Stoke City Home 2.01 xG · 13 shots
Bristol City Away 1.02 xG · 16 shots
51 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 4' Divin Mubama Stoke City · 0.93 xG chance 1–0
  2. 22' Divin Mubama Stoke City · 0.68 xG chance 2–0
  3. 25' Million Manhoef Stoke City · 0.16 xG chance 3–0
  4. 47' Junior Tchamadeu Stoke City · 0.35 xG chance 4–0
  5. 67' Divin Mubama Stoke City · 0.18 xG chance 5–0
  6. 82' Mark Sykes Bristol City · 0.03 xG chance 5–1

The shots behind it

Stoke City Bristol City
Shots
13
16
On target
8
5
Inside the box
11
9
xG per shot
0.21
0.06
Open play xG
2.72
0.84
Set-piece xG
0.00
0.19
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.76 for Stoke City and 1.02 for Bristol City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Stoke City · Divin Mubama · 4' · Goal · 4 m · 0.93 xG Stoke City · Divin Mubama · 22' · Goal · 10 m · 0.68 xG Stoke City · Junior Tchamadeu · 47' · Goal · 10 m · 0.35 xG Stoke City · Divin Mubama · 67' · Goal · 11 m · 0.18 xG Bristol City · Anis Mehmeti · 64' · No goal · 7 m · 0.17 xG Stoke City · Million Manhoef · 25' · Goal · 14 m · 0.16 xG Bristol City · Ross McCrorie · 54' · No goal · 8 m · 0.12 xG Bristol City · Adam Randell · 26' · No goal · 15 m · 0.11 xG Stoke City · Lamine Cissé · 75' · No goal · 5 m · 0.11 xG Bristol City · Sinclair Armstrong · 63' · No goal · 21 m · 0.10 xG Stoke City · Aaron Cresswell · 8' · No goal · 15 m · 0.10 xG Bristol City · Rob Dickie · 14' · No goal · 8 m · 0.08 xG Bristol City · Rob Dickie · 13' · No goal · 2 m · 0.07 xG Stoke City · Jun-Ho Bae · 86' · No goal · 21 m · 0.07 xG Bristol City · Yu Hirakawa · 88' · No goal · 14 m · 0.07 xG Bristol City · Zak Vyner · 90' · No goal · 19 m · 0.07 xG Bristol City · Anis Mehmeti · 34' · No goal · 18 m · 0.05 xG Bristol City · Mark Sykes · 35' · No goal · 19 m · 0.05 xG Bristol City · Mark Sykes · 52' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Stoke City · Divin Mubama · 31' · No goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG Stoke City · Sorba Thomas · 72' · No goal · 10 m · 0.04 xG Stoke City · Million Manhoef · 41' · No goal · 11 m · 0.03 xG Bristol City · Anis Mehmeti · 50' · No goal · 26 m · 0.03 xG Stoke City · Sorba Thomas · 38' · No goal · 9 m · 0.03 xG Bristol City · Mark Sykes · 82' · Goal · 5 m · 0.03 xG Stoke City · Lewis Baker · 16' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG Bristol City · George Tanner · 12' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Bristol City · Zak Vyner · 6' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Bristol City · Sinclair Armstrong · 11' · No goal · 15 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

29 shots · 3.75 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Stoke City
  • Bristol City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Stoke City

0.97 xG created 1.29 xGA

  • D 1.85 created, 1.32 conceded against Norwich City
  • D 1.20 created, 0.61 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • D 0.81 created, 1.88 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • W 0.61 created, 0.59 conceded against Wrexham
  • L 0.44 created, 1.48 conceded against Millwall
  • W 0.90 created, 1.83 conceded against Portsmouth
Bristol City

1.48 xG created 0.96 xGA

  • D 2.32 created, 0.42 conceded against Preston North End
  • D 1.38 created, 1.38 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • L 1.21 created, 0.48 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • W 2.06 created, 0.58 conceded against Norwich City
  • W 1.63 created, 2.20 conceded against Southampton
  • W 0.27 created, 0.69 conceded against Birmingham City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.