xgEdge

Tuesday, 21/04/2026 at 20:45

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Match report · Championship

Stoke City 1:3 Millwall

Stoke City Home 1.00 xG · 13 shots
Millwall Away 1.82 xG · 14 shots
13 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 20' Camiel Neghli Millwall · 0.13 xG chance 0–1
  2. 55' Femi Azeez Millwall · 0.03 xG chance 0–2
  3. 60' Caleb Taylor (o.g.) Stoke City 1–2
  4. 69' Josh Coburn Millwall · 0.12 xG chance 1–3

The shots behind it

Stoke City Millwall
Shots
13
14
On target
5
6
Inside the box
6
11
xG per shot
0.08
0.11
Open play xG
0.73
1.45
Set-piece xG
0.27
0.03
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.98 for Stoke City and 1.48 for Millwall.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Millwall · Josh Coburn · 24' · No goal · 8 m · 0.35 xG Stoke City · Lamine Cissé · 78' · No goal · 12 m · 0.34 xG Millwall · Thierno Ballo · 57' · No goal · 10 m · 0.31 xG Millwall · Josh Coburn · 17' · No goal · 7 m · 0.19 xG Stoke City · Pijus Otegbayo · 9' · No goal · 6 m · 0.16 xG Millwall · Camiel Neghli · 20' · Goal · 13 m · 0.13 xG Millwall · Josh Coburn · 69' · Goal · 10 m · 0.12 xG Stoke City · Sorba Thomas · 71' · No goal · 19 m · 0.11 xG Millwall · Thierno Ballo · 28' · No goal · 19 m · 0.09 xG Stoke City · Million Manhoef · 50' · No goal · 18 m · 0.08 xG Stoke City · Róbert Boženík · 33' · No goal · 17 m · 0.06 xG Stoke City · Róbert Boženík · 12' · No goal · 18 m · 0.06 xG Millwall · Mihailo Ivanović · 90' · No goal · 11 m · 0.06 xG Stoke City · Eric Bocat · 86' · No goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG Millwall · Casper De Norre · 57' · No goal · 18 m · 0.05 xG Millwall · Femi Azeez · 16' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG Stoke City · Lamine Cissé · 79' · No goal · 9 m · 0.04 xG Millwall · Tristan Crama · 67' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Millwall · Femi Azeez · 62' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG Millwall · Femi Azeez · 37' · No goal · 14 m · 0.03 xG Millwall · Femi Azeez · 55' · Goal · 21 m · 0.03 xG Stoke City · Steven​ N'Zonzi · 60' · No goal · 6 m · 0.03 xG Stoke City · Tatsuki Seko · 48' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG Stoke City · Sorba Thomas · 82' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Millwall · Femi Azeez · 37' · No goal · 15 m · 0.02 xG Stoke City · Lewis Baker · 41' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG Stoke City · Caleb Taylor · 60' · Goal · 3 m · 0.00 xG

All shots

27 shots · 2.47 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Stoke City
  • Millwall
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Stoke City

1.24 xG created 1.75 xGA

  • W 1.53 created, 1.83 conceded against Watford
  • L 0.99 created, 2.81 conceded against Preston North End
  • W 2.54 created, 1.39 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • L 0.30 created, 2.57 conceded against Derby County
  • D 1.74 created, 0.67 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • L 0.35 created, 1.25 conceded against Wrexham
Millwall

1.23 xG created 1.73 xGA

  • L 1.38 created, 2.18 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • D 1.67 created, 1.38 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • W 0.79 created, 3.12 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • L 0.92 created, 2.19 conceded against Norwich City
  • D 1.10 created, 1.35 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • W 1.53 created, 0.14 conceded against Queens Park Rangers

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Stoke City: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.