xgEdge

Tuesday, 17/02/2026 at 20:45

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Match report · Championship

Bristol City 2:2 Wrexham

Bristol City Home 0.38 xG · 8 shots
Wrexham Away 1.07 xG · 10 shots
22 Wrexham had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

  1. 34' Oliver Rathbone Wrexham · 0.36 xG chance 0–1
  2. 47' Sinclair Armstrong Bristol City · 0.05 xG chance 1–1
  3. 76' Joe Williams (o.g.) Wrexham 1–2
  4. 89' Max Bird Bristol City · 0.06 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Bristol City Wrexham
Shots
8
10
On target
5
4
Inside the box
3
5
xG per shot
0.05
0.11
Open play xG
0.37
1.05
Set-piece xG
0.03
0.00
Penalties
—
—

Bristol City's shots add up to 0.40 xG and Wrexham's to 1.05; the published figures are 0.38 and 1.07.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Wrexham · Oliver Rathbone · 34' · Goal · 11 m · 0.36 xG Wrexham · George Dobson · 81' · No goal · 9 m · 0.33 xG Bristol City · Sinclair Armstrong · 46' · No goal · 3 m · 0.15 xG Wrexham · Sam Smith · 68' · No goal · 20 m · 0.09 xG Wrexham · Issa Kaboré · 51' · No goal · 14 m · 0.07 xG Bristol City · Max Bird · 89' · Goal · 18 m · 0.06 xG Wrexham · Ben Sheaf · 32' · No goal · 19 m · 0.06 xG Wrexham · Nathan Broadhead · 52' · No goal · 20 m · 0.06 xG Bristol City · Sinclair Armstrong · 47' · Goal · 5 m · 0.05 xG Bristol City · Tomi Horvat · 46' · No goal · 21 m · 0.04 xG Wrexham · Oliver Rathbone · 32' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Bristol City · Sinclair Armstrong · 60' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Wrexham · Callum Doyle · 23' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Bristol City · Scott Twine · 74' · No goal · 30 m · 0.03 xG Wrexham · Lewis O'Brien · 25' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Bristol City · Neto Borges · 10' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Bristol City · Max Bird · 75' · No goal · 27 m · 0.01 xG Wrexham · Joe Williams · 76' · Goal · 5 m · 0.00 xG

All shots

18 shots · 1.45 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Bristol City
  • Wrexham
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Bristol City

1.04 xG created 1.24 xGA

  • L 0.42 created, 1.08 conceded against Preston North End
  • D 0.44 created, 1.20 conceded against Oxford United
  • L 0.67 created, 1.08 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • W 2.55 created, 0.71 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • L 0.23 created, 2.00 conceded against Derby County
  • W 1.94 created, 1.39 conceded against Hull City
Wrexham

1.05 xG created 0.66 xGA

  • W 1.00 created, 1.35 conceded against Derby County
  • L 0.85 created, 0.24 conceded against Norwich City
  • D 1.01 created, 0.39 conceded against Leicester City
  • W 0.49 created, 0.99 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • W 1.44 created, 0.39 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • L 1.53 created, 0.58 conceded against Millwall

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Bristol City: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.