xgEdge

Saturday, 07/02/2026 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Wrexham 0:2 Millwall

Wrexham Home 1.53 xG · 16 shots
Millwall Away 0.58 xG · 8 shots
02 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 59' Max Cleworth (o.g.) Millwall 0–1
  2. 85' Josh Coburn Millwall · 0.10 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Wrexham Millwall
Shots
16
8
On target
5
2
Inside the box
12
7
xG per shot
0.09
0.07
Open play xG
1.19
0.37
Set-piece xG
0.33
0.21
Penalties
—
—

Wrexham's shots add up to 1.52 xG; the published figure is 1.53.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Wrexham · Sam Smith · 82' · No goal · 11 m · 0.44 xG Wrexham · Sam Smith · 83' · No goal · 11 m · 0.26 xG Wrexham · Kieffer Moore · 54' · No goal · 11 m · 0.16 xG Millwall · Camiel Neghli · 27' · No goal · 7 m · 0.14 xG Wrexham · Max Cleworth · 8' · No goal · 6 m · 0.13 xG Wrexham · Kieffer Moore · 5' · No goal · 8 m · 0.12 xG Millwall · Caleb Taylor · 71' · No goal · 7 m · 0.11 xG Millwall · Josh Coburn · 85' · Goal · 13 m · 0.10 xG Millwall · Femi Azeez · 6' · No goal · 6 m · 0.08 xG Wrexham · Kieffer Moore · 51' · No goal · 9 m · 0.08 xG Wrexham · Dominic Hyam · 70' · No goal · 9 m · 0.07 xG Millwall · Tristan Crama · 90' · No goal · 8 m · 0.06 xG Wrexham · Kieffer Moore · 88' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG Millwall · Femi Azeez · 45' · No goal · 7 m · 0.05 xG Millwall · Femi Azeez · 70' · No goal · 7 m · 0.05 xG Wrexham · George Thomason · 66' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Wrexham · Kieffer Moore · 88' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG Wrexham · George Thomason · 78' · No goal · 18 m · 0.03 xG Wrexham · Oliver Rathbone · 12' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Wrexham · Issa Kaboré · 8' · No goal · 14 m · 0.03 xG Wrexham · George Dobson · 67' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Wrexham · Lewis O'Brien · 11' · No goal · 15 m · 0.02 xG Wrexham · Callum Doyle · 53' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG Millwall · Max Cleworth · 59' · Goal · 3 m · 0.00 xG

All shots

24 shots · 2.09 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Wrexham
  • Millwall
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Wrexham

0.91 xG created 0.67 xGA

  • W 0.67 created, 0.66 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • W 1.00 created, 1.35 conceded against Derby County
  • L 0.85 created, 0.24 conceded against Norwich City
  • D 1.01 created, 0.39 conceded against Leicester City
  • W 0.49 created, 0.99 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • W 1.44 created, 0.39 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
Millwall

1.88 xG created 1.07 xGA

  • D 1.49 created, 0.96 conceded against Southampton
  • W 1.93 created, 1.05 conceded against Swansea City
  • W 1.57 created, 0.54 conceded against Watford
  • L 0.98 created, 2.51 conceded against Coventry City
  • W 3.91 created, 0.14 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • D 1.38 created, 1.22 conceded against Sheffield United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Wrexham: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.