xgEdge

Saturday, 07/02/2026 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Hull City 2:3 Bristol City

Hull City Home 1.39 xG · 10 shots
Bristol City Away 1.94 xG · 11 shots
23 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 24' Oli McBurnie Hull City · 0.44 xG chance 1–0
  2. 33' Robert Atkinson Bristol City · 0.34 xG chance 1–1
  3. 39' Ross McCrorie Bristol City · 0.13 xG chance 1–2
  4. 50' Emil Riis Jacobsen Bristol City · 0.69 xG chance 1–3
  5. 78' Kieran Dowell Hull City · 0.43 xG chance 2–3

The shots behind it

Hull City Bristol City
Shots
10
11
On target
5
6
Inside the box
6
8
xG per shot
0.14
0.18
Open play xG
1.35
1.65
Set-piece xG
0.05
0.34
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.39 for Hull City and 1.95 for Bristol City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Bristol City · Emil Riis Jacobsen · 50' · Goal · 12 m · 0.69 xG Hull City · Oli McBurnie · 24' · Goal · 9 m · 0.44 xG Hull City · Kieran Dowell · 78' · Goal · 7 m · 0.43 xG Bristol City · Tomi Horvat · 39' · No goal · 9 m · 0.34 xG Bristol City · Robert Atkinson · 33' · Goal · 5 m · 0.34 xG Bristol City · Emil Riis Jacobsen · 8' · No goal · 12 m · 0.17 xG Bristol City · Ross McCrorie · 39' · Goal · 14 m · 0.13 xG Bristol City · Scott Twine · 39' · No goal · 14 m · 0.12 xG Hull City · Paddy McNair · 38' · No goal · 8 m · 0.11 xG Hull City · Kyle Joseph · 11' · No goal · 8 m · 0.09 xG Hull City · Joe Gelhardt · 90' · No goal · 18 m · 0.09 xG Hull City · Joe Gelhardt · 73' · No goal · 19 m · 0.08 xG Bristol City · Sinclair Armstrong · 74' · No goal · 15 m · 0.08 xG Bristol City · Sinclair Armstrong · 90' · No goal · 3 m · 0.08 xG Hull City · Joe Gelhardt · 44' · No goal · 18 m · 0.05 xG Hull City · Joe Gelhardt · 86' · No goal · 16 m · 0.04 xG Hull City · Lewis Koumas · 64' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Hull City · John Lundstram · 49' · No goal · 21 m · 0.03 xG Bristol City · Scott Twine · 77' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Bristol City · Scott Twine · 26' · No goal · 30 m · 0.02 xG Bristol City · Tomi Horvat · 12' · No goal · 29 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

21 shots · 3.39 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Hull City
  • Bristol City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Hull City

1.17 xG created 1.49 xGA

  • L 1.31 created, 1.65 conceded against Stoke City
  • W 0.62 created, 2.93 conceded against Southampton
  • W 1.67 created, 0.90 conceded against Preston North End
  • W 1.62 created, 2.05 conceded against Swansea City
  • W 1.47 created, 0.50 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • D 0.30 created, 0.93 conceded against Watford
Bristol City

0.97 xG created 1.08 xGA

  • W 1.51 created, 0.42 conceded against Portsmouth
  • L 0.42 created, 1.08 conceded against Preston North End
  • D 0.44 created, 1.20 conceded against Oxford United
  • L 0.67 created, 1.08 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • W 2.55 created, 0.71 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • L 0.23 created, 2.00 conceded against Derby County

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Hull City: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.