xgEdge

Tuesday, 20/01/2026 at 20:45

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Match report · Championship

Coventry City 2:1 Millwall

Coventry City Home 2.51 xG · 15 shots
Millwall Away 0.98 xG · 13 shots
21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 11' Romain Esse Coventry City · 0.41 xG chance 1–0
  2. 29' Mihailo Ivanović Millwall · 0.30 xG chance 1–1
  3. 78' Haji Wright Coventry City · 0.10 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Coventry City Millwall
Shots
15
13
On target
4
4
Inside the box
10
10
xG per shot
0.18
0.08
Open play xG
2.66
0.89
Set-piece xG
0.08
0.11
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.76 for Coventry City and 0.98 for Millwall.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Coventry City · Haji Wright · 11' · No goal · 2 m · 0.63 xG Coventry City · Romain Esse · 50' · No goal · 8 m · 0.53 xG Coventry City · Romain Esse · 11' · Goal · 2 m · 0.41 xG Coventry City · Brandon Thomas-Asante · 90' · No goal · 10 m · 0.36 xG Millwall · Mihailo Ivanović · 61' · No goal · 11 m · 0.30 xG Millwall · Mihailo Ivanović · 29' · Goal · 8 m · 0.30 xG Coventry City · Josh Eccles · 18' · No goal · 14 m · 0.14 xG Coventry City · Brandon Thomas-Asante · 90' · No goal · 22 m · 0.12 xG Coventry City · Joel Latibeaudiere · 18' · No goal · 11 m · 0.11 xG Coventry City · Haji Wright · 78' · Goal · 11 m · 0.10 xG Millwall · Zak Sturge · 52' · No goal · 18 m · 0.08 xG Coventry City · Ephron Mason-Clark · 82' · No goal · 16 m · 0.08 xG Coventry City · Victor Torp · 90' · No goal · 22 m · 0.08 xG Millwall · Macaulay Langstaff · 10' · No goal · 10 m · 0.07 xG Millwall · Macaulay Langstaff · 73' · No goal · 6 m · 0.05 xG Coventry City · Josh Eccles · 7' · No goal · 7 m · 0.05 xG Coventry City · Matt Grimes · 67' · No goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG Millwall · Femi Azeez · 24' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Coventry City · Josh Eccles · 57' · No goal · 22 m · 0.04 xG Millwall · Thierno Ballo · 64' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG Millwall · Tristan Crama · 10' · No goal · 8 m · 0.03 xG Coventry City · Victor Torp · 75' · No goal · 26 m · 0.03 xG Millwall · Thierno Ballo · 27' · No goal · 9 m · 0.03 xG Millwall · Mihailo Ivanović · 81' · No goal · 14 m · 0.03 xG Coventry City · Josh Eccles · 4' · No goal · 19 m · 0.02 xG Millwall · Femi Azeez · 40' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Millwall · Caleb Taylor · 61' · No goal · 30 m · 0.02 xG Millwall · Femi Azeez · 66' · No goal · 17 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

28 shots · 3.74 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Coventry City
  • Millwall
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Coventry City

1.32 xG created 1.30 xGA

  • D 0.48 created, 1.32 conceded against Southampton
  • W 1.30 created, 1.22 conceded against Swansea City
  • L 0.80 created, 1.14 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • D 1.55 created, 1.46 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • L 1.33 created, 1.27 conceded against Birmingham City
  • W 2.45 created, 1.41 conceded against Leicester City
Millwall

1.10 xG created 1.11 xGA

  • L 0.59 created, 2.35 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • D 0.36 created, 0.81 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • W 0.63 created, 0.96 conceded against Bristol City
  • D 1.49 created, 0.96 conceded against Southampton
  • W 1.93 created, 1.05 conceded against Swansea City
  • W 1.57 created, 0.54 conceded against Watford

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Coventry City: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.