xgEdge

Wednesday, 10/12/2025 at 20:45

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Match report · Championship

Ipswich Town 1:0 Stoke City

Ipswich Town Home 0.93 xG · 16 shots
Stoke City Away 0.33 xG · 6 shots
10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 2' Jaden Philogene-Bidace Ipswich Town · 0.03 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Ipswich Town Stoke City
Shots
16
6
On target
6
1
Inside the box
9
3
xG per shot
0.06
0.06
Open play xG
0.85
0.20
Set-piece xG
0.06
0.13
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.93 for Ipswich Town and 0.33 for Stoke City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Ipswich Town · Ivan Azón · 18' · No goal · 14 m · 0.31 xG Stoke City · Sorba Thomas · 9' · No goal · 5 m · 0.13 xG Stoke City · Maksym Talovierov · 5' · No goal · 8 m · 0.10 xG Ipswich Town · Marcelino Núñez · 83' · No goal · 12 m · 0.07 xG Ipswich Town · Leif Davis · 55' · No goal · 11 m · 0.07 xG Ipswich Town · Marcelino Núñez · 43' · No goal · 15 m · 0.07 xG Ipswich Town · Jens-Lys Cajuste · 79' · No goal · 13 m · 0.06 xG Stoke City · Jun-Ho Bae · 4' · No goal · 7 m · 0.06 xG Ipswich Town · Sindre Walle Egeli · 31' · No goal · 23 m · 0.05 xG Ipswich Town · Marcelino Núñez · 16' · No goal · 26 m · 0.05 xG Ipswich Town · Jaden Philogene-Bidace · 47' · No goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG Ipswich Town · Jaden Philogene-Bidace · 20' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG Ipswich Town · Marcelino Núñez · 65' · No goal · 29 m · 0.03 xG Ipswich Town · Sammie Szmodics · 89' · No goal · 9 m · 0.03 xG Ipswich Town · Ivan Azón · 58' · No goal · 7 m · 0.03 xG Ipswich Town · Jaden Philogene-Bidace · 2' · Goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Ipswich Town · Marcelino Núñez · 19' · No goal · 27 m · 0.03 xG Stoke City · Maksym Talovierov · 41' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Stoke City · Sorba Thomas · 25' · No goal · 28 m · 0.02 xG Ipswich Town · Jack Taylor · 60' · No goal · 29 m · 0.02 xG Ipswich Town · Leif Davis · 18' · No goal · 35 m · 0.01 xG Stoke City · Sorba Thomas · 90' · No goal · 26 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

22 shots · 1.25 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Ipswich Town
  • Stoke City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Ipswich Town

1.51 xG created 0.71 xGA

  • W 1.37 created, 0.43 conceded against Swansea City
  • D 1.69 created, 0.04 conceded against Wrexham
  • W 2.32 created, 0.50 conceded against Hull City
  • L 1.70 created, 1.24 conceded against Oxford United
  • D 0.51 created, 1.40 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • W 1.45 created, 0.67 conceded against Coventry City
Stoke City

1.03 xG created 1.34 xGA

  • W 2.19 created, 1.78 conceded against Oxford United
  • L 0.85 created, 0.97 conceded against Coventry City
  • L 1.37 created, 1.49 conceded against Leicester City
  • W 0.72 created, 0.18 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • L 0.80 created, 1.18 conceded against Hull City
  • L 0.27 created, 2.43 conceded against Sheffield United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.