Stoke City 1:2 Hull City: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 29/11/2025 at 13:30

Full time

Match report · Championship

Stoke City Home 0.80 xG · 12 shots

Hull City Away 1.18 xG · 11 shots

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

17' Sorba Thomas Stoke City · 0.04 xG chance 1–0
48' Semi Ajayi Hull City · 0.42 xG chance 1–1
90' Joe Gelhardt Hull City · 0.43 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Stoke City Hull City

Shots: 12; 11
On target: 7; 6
Inside the box: 10; 6
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.11
Open play xG: 0.65; 0.54
Set-piece xG: 0.13; 0.65
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.80 for Stoke City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 1.97 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Stoke City
Hull City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Stoke City

1.34 xG created 1.21 xGA

W 0.90 created, 1.83 conceded against Portsmouth
W 2.01 created, 1.02 conceded against Bristol City
W 2.19 created, 1.78 conceded against Oxford United
L 0.85 created, 0.97 conceded against Coventry City
L 1.37 created, 1.49 conceded against Leicester City
W 0.72 created, 0.18 conceded against Charlton Athletic

Hull City

1.27 xG created 1.99 xGA

D 1.11 created, 1.95 conceded against Charlton Athletic
W 1.26 created, 2.52 conceded against Norwich City
L 1.28 created, 0.84 conceded against Derby County
W 2.36 created, 1.29 conceded against Portsmouth
L 1.12 created, 3.02 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
L 0.50 created, 2.32 conceded against Ipswich Town

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.