Oxford United 0:3 Stoke City: xG & match report · Championship

Tuesday, 04/11/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Championship

Oxford United Home 1.78 xG · 16 shots

Stoke City Away 2.19 xG · 14 shots

03 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

10' Lewis Baker Stoke City · 0.98 xG chance 0–1
32' Steven N'Zonzi Stoke City · 0.12 xG chance 0–2
48' Lewis Baker Stoke City · 0.31 xG chance 0–3

The shots behind it

Oxford United Stoke City

Shots: 16; 14
On target: 1; 6
Inside the box: 9; 12
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.17
Open play xG: 0.55; 2.06
Set-piece xG: 1.23; 0.34
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.37 for Stoke City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 4.18 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Oxford United
Stoke City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Oxford United

0.95 xG created 1.34 xGA

D 0.37 created, 0.80 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
L 1.38 created, 2.65 conceded against Watford
W 2.17 created, 0.25 conceded against Derby County
L 0.15 created, 0.77 conceded against Wrexham
W 0.99 created, 1.16 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
D 0.63 created, 2.42 conceded against Millwall

Stoke City

1.00 xG created 1.24 xGA

D 1.20 created, 0.61 conceded against Middlesbrough
D 0.81 created, 1.88 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
W 0.61 created, 0.59 conceded against Wrexham
L 0.44 created, 1.48 conceded against Millwall
W 0.90 created, 1.83 conceded against Portsmouth
W 2.01 created, 1.02 conceded against Bristol City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.