Lincoln City 1:2 Swansea City: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 19/09/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Lincoln City Home 2.11 xG · 13 shots

Swansea City Away 0.92 xG · 10 shots

12 The result went against the chances

Goals

39' Reeco Hackett-Fairchild (pen.) Lincoln City · 0.82 xG chance 1–0
47' Moussa Kounfolo Yeo Swansea City · 0.61 xG chance 1–1
51' Stephen Eustaquio Swansea City · 0.03 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Lincoln City Swansea City

Shots: 13; 10
On target: 4; 4
Inside the box: 7; 3
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.08
Open play xG: 0.50; 0.81
Set-piece xG: 0.19; 0.01
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.70 for Lincoln City and 0.85 for Swansea City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 2.34 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Lincoln City
Swansea City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Lincoln City

1.43 xG created 1.04 xGA

L 2.32 created, 1.21 conceded against Portsmouth
W 1.32 created, 1.89 conceded against Bolton Wanderers
D 1.46 created, 0.24 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
D 2.27 created, 0.77 conceded against Southampton
W 0.66 created, 0.58 conceded against Preston North End
W 0.53 created, 1.53 conceded against Bristol City

Swansea City

1.81 xG created 1.15 xGA

D 0.57 created, 1.46 conceded against Sheffield United
W 3.00 created, 0.70 conceded against Derby County
W 2.71 created, 0.88 conceded against Watford
D 0.74 created, 0.67 conceded against Wrexham
L 1.22 created, 1.44 conceded against Southampton
W 2.63 created, 1.73 conceded against Burnley

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.