Tuesday, 15/09/2026 at 20:45
Full timeBristol City 0:1 Lincoln City
Goals
- 53' Freddie Draper Lincoln City · 0.55 xG chance 0–1
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 18
- 9
- On target
- 4
- 3
- Inside the box
- 12
- 5
- xG per shot
- 0.08
- 0.10
- Open play xG
- 0.48
- 0.77
- Set-piece xG
- 1.01
- 0.09
- Penalties
- —
- —
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.46 for Bristol City and 0.85 for Lincoln City.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
27 shots · 2.35 xG
Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.
- Bristol City
- Lincoln City
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.27 xG created 1.77 xGA
- L 0.52 created, 3.40 conceded against Millwall
- D 1.43 created, 1.98 conceded against Birmingham City
- W 0.61 created, 1.37 conceded against Portsmouth
- W 1.78 created, 1.91 conceded against Preston North End
- W 1.06 created, 0.26 conceded against Burnley
- L 2.24 created, 1.71 conceded against Southampton
1.43 xG created 1.15 xGA
- L 0.57 created, 2.23 conceded against Middlesbrough
- L 2.32 created, 1.21 conceded against Portsmouth
- W 1.32 created, 1.89 conceded against Bolton Wanderers
- D 1.46 created, 0.24 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
- D 2.27 created, 0.77 conceded against Southampton
- W 0.66 created, 0.58 conceded against Preston North End
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.