Preston North End 0:1 Lincoln City: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 12/09/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Preston North End Home 0.58 xG · 11 shots

Lincoln City Away 0.66 xG · 7 shots

01 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

81' Freddie Draper Lincoln City · 0.18 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Preston North End Lincoln City

Shots: 11; 7
On target: 2; 3
Inside the box: 8; 6
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.27; 0.48
Set-piece xG: 0.26; 0.18
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.55 for Preston North End and 0.64 for Lincoln City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

18 shots · 1.19 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Preston North End
Lincoln City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Preston North End

1.61 xG created 1.28 xGA

L 1.12 created, 1.10 conceded against Bolton Wanderers
L 0.66 created, 1.54 conceded against Wolverhampton
L 1.32 created, 0.74 conceded against Charlton Athletic
L 1.91 created, 1.78 conceded against Bristol City
W 2.19 created, 1.09 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
L 2.48 created, 1.44 conceded against Watford

Lincoln City

1.59 xG created 1.27 xGA

L 0.57 created, 2.23 conceded against Middlesbrough
L 2.32 created, 1.21 conceded against Portsmouth
W 1.32 created, 1.89 conceded against Bolton Wanderers
D 1.46 created, 0.24 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
D 2.27 created, 0.77 conceded against Southampton

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.