Middlesbrough 2:4 Coventry City: xG & match report · Championship

Tuesday, 25/11/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Championship

Middlesbrough Home 1.05 xG · 12 shots

Coventry City Away 1.40 xG · 20 shots

24 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

10' Ellis Simms Coventry City · 0.03 xG chance 0–1
14' Liam Kitching Coventry City · 0.06 xG chance 0–2
32' Morgan Whittaker Middlesbrough · 0.14 xG chance 1–2
49' Bobby Thomas (o.g.) Middlesbrough 2–2
85' Liam Kitching Coventry City · 0.15 xG chance 2–3
86' Ellis Simms Coventry City · 0.30 xG chance 2–4

The shots behind it

Middlesbrough Coventry City

Shots: 12; 20
On target: 3; 8
Inside the box: 5; 16
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.07
Open play xG: 0.69; 1.05
Set-piece xG: 0.39; 0.37
Penalties: —; —

Middlesbrough's shots add up to 1.07 xG and Coventry City's to 1.41; the published figures are 1.05 and 1.40.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

32 shots · 2.49 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Middlesbrough
Coventry City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Middlesbrough

1.01 xG created 0.90 xGA

W 1.57 created, 0.70 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
D 0.77 created, 0.68 conceded against Wrexham
L 0.79 created, 0.92 conceded against Watford
D 1.27 created, 1.40 conceded against Leicester City
W 0.61 created, 1.20 conceded against Birmingham City
D 1.06 created, 0.53 conceded against Oxford United

Coventry City

1.74 xG created 1.42 xGA

W 2.58 created, 0.76 conceded against Portsmouth
W 1.31 created, 2.61 conceded against Watford
L 1.38 created, 1.59 conceded against Wrexham
W 1.91 created, 1.12 conceded against Sheffield United
W 0.97 created, 0.85 conceded against Stoke City
W 2.27 created, 1.61 conceded against West Bromwich Albion

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.