Oxford United 1:1 Middlesbrough: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 22/11/2025 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Oxford United Home 0.53 xG · 9 shots

Middlesbrough Away 1.06 xG · 19 shots

11 Middlesbrough had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

28' Luke Harris Oxford United · 0.09 xG chance 1–0
54' Morgan Whittaker Middlesbrough · 0.28 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Oxford United Middlesbrough

Shots: 9; 19
On target: 2; 3
Inside the box: 3; 11
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.06
Open play xG: 0.42; 1.00
Set-piece xG: 0.09; 0.07
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.53 for Oxford United and 1.06 for Middlesbrough.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 1.58 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Oxford United
Middlesbrough
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Oxford United

1.11 xG created 1.40 xGA

W 2.17 created, 0.25 conceded against Derby County
L 0.15 created, 0.77 conceded against Wrexham
W 0.99 created, 1.16 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
D 0.63 created, 2.42 conceded against Millwall
L 1.78 created, 2.19 conceded against Stoke City
L 0.95 created, 1.61 conceded against West Bromwich Albion

Middlesbrough

1.15 xG created 1.15 xGA

W 1.86 created, 1.97 conceded against Ipswich Town
W 1.57 created, 0.70 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
D 0.77 created, 0.68 conceded against Wrexham
L 0.79 created, 0.92 conceded against Watford
D 1.27 created, 1.40 conceded against Leicester City
W 0.61 created, 1.20 conceded against Birmingham City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.