Watford 3:0 Middlesbrough: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 01/11/2025 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Watford Home 0.92 xG · 9 shots

Middlesbrough Away 0.79 xG · 14 shots

30 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

15' Imrân Louza Watford · 0.45 xG chance 1–0
32' Luca Kjerrumgaard Watford · 0.07 xG chance 2–0
49' Luca Kjerrumgaard Watford · 0.08 xG chance 3–0

The shots behind it

Watford Middlesbrough

Shots: 9; 14
On target: 4; 4
Inside the box: 5; 6
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.05
Open play xG: 0.87; 0.65
Set-piece xG: 0.00; 0.12
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.85 for Watford and 0.79 for Middlesbrough.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 1.63 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Watford
Middlesbrough
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Watford

2.06 xG created 1.23 xGA

W 2.82 created, 0.86 conceded against Hull City
D 1.94 created, 1.10 conceded against Portsmouth
W 2.65 created, 1.38 conceded against Oxford United
L 1.09 created, 2.11 conceded against Sheffield United
W 1.22 created, 0.63 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
L 2.61 created, 1.31 conceded against Coventry City

Middlesbrough

1.02 xG created 0.98 xGA

D 0.29 created, 0.85 conceded against Southampton
D 0.61 created, 1.20 conceded against Stoke City
L 1.00 created, 0.48 conceded against Portsmouth
W 1.86 created, 1.97 conceded against Ipswich Town
W 1.57 created, 0.70 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
D 0.77 created, 0.68 conceded against Wrexham

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.