xgEdge

Tuesday, 10/03/2026 at 20:45

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Match report · Championship

Portsmouth 1:2 Swansea City

Portsmouth Home 0.94 xG · 9 shots
Swansea City Away 0.71 xG · 8 shots
12 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 26' Ethan Galbraith Swansea City · 0.03 xG chance 0–1
  2. 39' Josh Key Swansea City · 0.03 xG chance 0–2
  3. 64' Jacob Brown Portsmouth · 0.52 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Portsmouth Swansea City
Shots
9
8
On target
4
3
Inside the box
8
5
xG per shot
0.11
0.09
Open play xG
0.57
0.72
Set-piece xG
0.39
0.00
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.94 for Portsmouth and 0.71 for Swansea City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Portsmouth · Jacob Brown · 64' · Goal · 6 m · 0.52 xG Swansea City · Ethan Galbraith · 54' · No goal · 11 m · 0.37 xG Portsmouth · Colby Bishop · 67' · No goal · 4 m · 0.12 xG Swansea City · Josh Tymon · 26' · No goal · 13 m · 0.09 xG Swansea City · Žan Vipotnik · 6' · No goal · 9 m · 0.09 xG Swansea City · Žan Vipotnik · 5' · No goal · 15 m · 0.08 xG Portsmouth · Jacob Brown · 18' · No goal · 15 m · 0.07 xG Portsmouth · Ebou Adams · 73' · No goal · 10 m · 0.07 xG Portsmouth · John Swift · 90' · No goal · 4 m · 0.06 xG Portsmouth · Terry Devlin · 87' · No goal · 14 m · 0.05 xG Portsmouth · Zak Swanson · 90' · No goal · 6 m · 0.04 xG Swansea City · Ethan Galbraith · 26' · Goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Swansea City · Josh Key · 39' · Goal · 20 m · 0.03 xG Swansea City · Josh Tymon · 31' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Portsmouth · Ebou Adams · 37' · No goal · 9 m · 0.02 xG Portsmouth · Ebou Adams · 51' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Swansea City · Gonçalo Franco · 53' · No goal · 61 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

17 shots · 1.68 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Portsmouth
  • Swansea City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Portsmouth

1.17 xG created 0.72 xGA

  • L 2.50 created, 0.99 conceded against Sheffield United
  • W 1.14 created, 0.80 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • W 1.22 created, 0.42 conceded against Millwall
  • L 0.53 created, 0.54 conceded against Wrexham
  • L 1.02 created, 0.34 conceded against Hull City
  • D 0.62 created, 1.20 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
Swansea City

1.09 xG created 0.89 xGA

  • W 1.87 created, 0.06 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • L 1.00 created, 0.80 conceded against Derby County
  • W 0.58 created, 0.72 conceded against Bristol City
  • D 1.55 created, 1.77 conceded against Preston North End
  • L 0.36 created, 1.18 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • W 1.15 created, 0.82 conceded against Stoke City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Portsmouth: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.